Football Bet of the Day: Back Gremio to grind out a win

• Gremio have won 9/10 home games
  

• Athletico PR have lost 5/6 at top-half teams
  

• Back Gremio to win
  

Gremio v Athletico PR
Wednesday 23:00

In Kaunas last night, Lithuania and Hungary drew 2-2 to land our BTTS bet at a nice price.

We've crossed continents today for a return to domestic action. Gremio have already won at Athletic PR in Brazil's Serie A this season and we fancy they can complete the double over them at home tonight.

Third-placed Gremio are W10-D2-L1 on their own patch. Renato Portaluppi's men have won nine of the last 10 there - only league leaders Botafogo have been able to stop them.

Eighth-placed Athletico PR are W3-D3-L6 on the road this term. Travelling to top-half teams like Gremio, that record falls away to W1-D0-L5. Going up against one of Brazil's top home teams tonight, we think they could fall short once again.

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