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Flamengo v Athletico Paranaense: Back 2/1 props double

Flamengo forward Pedro has a good fouls record
Pedro: Good for a foul on Wednesday night

Our football props column is off to Brazil on Wednesday night for a 2/1 shots and cards double.

  • Shoot with Cuello in better position

  • Pedro foul on the cards

  • Back Bet Builder double at 2/13.00

Flamengo v Athletico Paranaense
Wednesday 13 September, (Thu, 01:30 BST)

The end of the international window means there's a real dearth of props options on Wednesday for football punters.

Brazil's Serie A is the default when it comes to such situations and this game offers up some shots and fouls markets.

We'll try to nab a 2/1 winner with a fairly simple double.

Leg 1: Tomas Cuello 2+ shots

As you can tell, this contest is taking place just 24 hours after South American World Cup qualifiers so there are likely to be several absentees.

A notable one, who is definitely out due to suspension, is Athletico's star forward, Vitor Roque.

That is set to provide Tomas Cuello with a chance as an out-and-out striker and I'm happy to put him down for 2+ shots, something he's managed in six of his last 11 games, often from less favourable positions.

Despite their position in the top four, only one team in Serie A has conceded more shots than Flamengo, while the visitors are in the top six for shots taken.

Leg 2: Pedro 1+ foul

Moving onto the fouls market, Flamengo forward Pedro is the man I like here.
He's set to start up front alongside Gabriel Barbosa and is another who will be looking to make the most of a fairly rare start.

He's been in and out of the team this season but when he has started, he's committed a foul more often than not - six times out of 11, in fact.

Referee Rafael Rodrigo Klein is above average when it comes to fouls awarded - he's up above 31 per game - which should help things along.

The Bet Builder double pays just over 2/1 which will do just fine on an awkward day.

Back Tomas Cuello 2+ shots & Pedro 1+ foul @ around 2/13.00

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Expected goals: 'Data doctor' Jack Osgathorpe on using xG

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Column P/L 2023/24

Staked: 38pts
Returned: 44.77pts
P/L: +6.77pts

2022/23 P/L: +68.69pts


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