Nottingham Forest v Bournemouth: Back Boly and co at 4/1

• Boly & Tavernier both strong on shots data

• Yates has landed 2+ fouls in every start this season

• Back Bet Builder at around 4/15.00

• Read Betfair's new 90 Minute Payout offer here

Nottingham Forest v Bournemouth
Saturday 23 December, 15:00

A new manager at Forest means we again have to walk the team news tightrope here - it's hard to know who Nuno Espirito Santo will pick for his first game in charge.

Remember, if the player comes on as a sub, the bet still stands so you may well want to wait until the line-ups are announced to place your bet.

Sadly, this column does not have that luxury - as we've found out to our cost already this week.

Leg 1: Willy Boly 1+ shot

However, I would certainly expect Willy Boly to be in the side.

Nuno worked with the central defender at Wolves so will know all about his game and the Ivory Coast international has been a starter for much of the season so far.

Boly has been regularly upsetting the odds in the shots market this season, landing the 1+ shot bet in eight of his 13 matches.

He's helped put Forest seventh for shots from set pieces but, more importantly, Bournemouth have had their issues defending set-plays - only three sides have conceded more shots from those situations.

Leg 2: Ryan Yates 2+ fouls

I also like the look of Boly's team-mate Ryan Yates for 2+ fouls.

He's landed this in all seven starts this season and has captained the side in the last two matches. His foul tallies in those games have been (most recent first): 4-3-4-4-3-2-2.

He's the sort of battler you need when the chips are down and he could well get the nod from Nuno.

Leg 3: Marcus Tavernier 2+ shots

To complete a three-legged Bet Builder, let's move to the other side of the ball and back Marcus Tavernier for 2+ shots.

If you include last week's abandoned game at Luton, Tavernier has had 2+ shots in six of his last seven starts, usually being played considerably further forward than he has in the past.

In contrast to Forest, the Cherries are flying right now, winning four of their last five completed matches. Playing some good football, I'd expect Tavernier to see enough of the ball to land this.

Put the three bets together and they pay around 4/15.00.

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