Bet of the Day

Tuesday Football Tips: Back cards Bet Builder at 21/10

Brazilian referee Maguielson Lima Barbosa
Maguielson Lima Barbosa: Card machine

Andy Schooler has landed 16/1, 10/1, 4/1 and 13/5 winners from his last six bets in the Betfair football props column - check out what he's backing on Tuesday.

  • Referee averaging more than 7 cards per game

  • Big battle at the top of Brazil's second division

  • Back Bet Builder cards double at north of 2/13.00


Mirassol v America MG
Tuesday 3 September, 23:00

With the EFL Trophy taking centre stage on Sky Sports on Tuesday, I make no apologies for looking elsewhere.

There's not a great deal to go at but a referee appointment in Brazil has caught my eye.

Maguielson Lima Barbosa takes charge of what is a big battle in Serie B.

Hosts Mirassol sit third, just four points behind the leaders ahead of this game in hand, with visitors America also very much in the promotion picture - they are seventh at time of writing, eight points off the pace. It should be competitive.

Leg 1: Mirassol 3 or more cards

Barbosa is a card machine. In his five Serie B matches so far this season he's shown 36 yellows and two reds. Across all competitions in 2024, he's produced 99 yellows and four reds in 14 games - that's an average of 7.36 cards per match!

Admittedly, both teams are low down the table when it comes to cards received but neither has tailed off - the standings are pretty tightly packed.

In any case, I've long been a fan of targeting the referee in card bets.

It was cards that got me into props betting - and landed me the job on this column - so I know that sometimes the market puts too much weight on the teams and not enough on the official.

Basically, due to the ref, I'm keen on a high card count and the prices look fairly decent.

For example, 7 or more cards - something which has occurred in nine of Barbosa's 14 games this season - is at 4/15.00. The safer options of 6+ (15/82.88) and 5+ (5/61.84) also look strong.

However, this is a Bet Builder column so my approach is to back Miarassol for 3+ cards - that's occurred in their last three games.

Leg 2: America MG 2 or more cards

I'm then also going to put America down for 2+ cards, something that's landed in eight of their last 10.

The double pays north of 2/13.00. OK, it's not a price to salivate over but given the coupon we've got in front of us, it looks good enough to me.


Big winners: Late yellow cards earn punter £25K!


Recommended bets

Column P/L 2024/25

Staked: 49pts
Returned: 71.06pts
P/L: +22.06pts

2023/24 P/L: +16.78pts
2022/23 P/L: +68.69pts

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