Bet of the Day

Liverpool v Brighton: 9/2 shot is Alexis by design

Liverpool and Argentina midfielder Alexis Mac Allister
Alexis Mac Allister has been playing further forward in recent games

Our football props column is eyeing a 9/2 shot in Liverpool's crucial Premier League clash with Brighton at Anfield on Sunday...

Liverpool v Brighton
Sunday 31 March, 14:00
Live on Sky Sports Premier League and Main Event

All the talk is about Sunday's game between Manchester City and Arsenal but, earlier in the day, there's another one that has an important part to play in the title race.

With City odds-on to beat the Gunners in the late game, Liverpool could well be in control of that race come Sunday evening but for that to happen they will need to beat Brighton at Anfield.

They are just 1/31.33 to pick up the three points and that's also reflected in the shots markets where many of their stars are very short odds. That's understandable given the Reds lead the league for shots taken.

Leg 1: Alexis Mac Allister 2+ shots

However, one who looks to offer a spot of value in that market is Alexis Mac Allister.

The Argentine has managed at least two shots in five of his last seven Premier League games, a period which has largely co-incided with him playing further forward.

He's often been forced to play in a deep-lying midfield role this season but with Jurgen Klopp now fully trusting Wataru Endo, Mac Allister has been given licence to push on in a similar way to how he did during his Brighton days when his shot output was impressive.

Mac Allister has struck four shots against Manchester City and three against Manchester United in his last two games and can land the 2+ bet again here against a side who have had trouble keeping things tight on the road - the Seagulls have conceded 28 goals in their 14 away games.

Leg 2: Alexis Mac Allister 2+ fouls

Mac Allister's fouls numbers have also risen since his move forward and he's landed the 2+ fouls bet in his last five matches.

With Brighton the league's fourth most-fouled side, I'm happy to add the Argentine to our Bet Builder for the second time.

Leg 3: Joe Gomez 1+ foul

To round it out, let's add Joe Gomez for 1+ foul.

The England international has delivered on this front for his backers in seven of his last eight Premier League starts, most of which have come at full-back.

It's not certain he'll start there on this occasion, although it does seem likely given the injury left-back Andy Robertson suffered on international duty which has left him touch and go for this contest.

Brighton love to get forward in wide areas and should test Gomez if indeed he is playing in a full-back role and I'd expect him to commit another foul at some stage.

The three legs combine to produce a Bet Builder which pays 9/25.50, hopefully a good way to end the week.

Back Mac Allister 2+ shots & 2+ fouls and Gomez 1+ foul @ 9/25.50

Bet here

Read Dave Tindall's in-depth Liverpool v Brighton preview

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Column P/L 2023/24

Staked: 220pts
Returned: 241.36pts
P/L: +21.36pts

2022/23 P/L: +68.69pts


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