Saturday Football Tips: Shots and fouls stand out at 7/1

• Leicester top for shots conceded; Cherries 3rd for shots taken

• Bournemouth 3rd for fouls committed; Foxes 4th most-fouled

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Leicester v Bournemouth
Saturday 5 October, 15:00

Study the numbers and you find angles in this game and there look to be a couple of decent ones ahead of this contest.

Granted, the angles found so far this week haven't delivered, but the column is still well in profit and the early-season data is very much worth noting here.

Leicester have conceded the most shots in the Premier League after six matchdays, while Bournemouth sit third for shots taken.

In addition, only two teams have committed more fouls than the Cherries, while Leicester are the fourth most-fouled side.

The player shots and fouls markets are therefore very much worth a visit.

Leg 1: Antoine Semenyo 3+ shots

I'll start with shots and am happy to back Bournemouth's shot leader, Antoine Semenyo. In fact, only Erling Haaland has struck more shots in the Premier League so far this season.

Semenyo has landed the 3+ shots bet in all six starts this season and has actually managed 4+ in five of those. He also delivered at least three shots it in each of his final two games of last term.

English Premier League - Top 5 Shots

Given the defence he's up against, the Ghanaian has to be backed to continue the run.

Leg 2: Milos Kerkez 1+ shot

I also like left-back Milos Kerkez for 1+ shot.

He had 15 shots in his last 11 appearances of 2023/24 and while he was a little slow to get going this season, he's now managed at least one shot in his last four matches.

The Hungarian is often found lurking around the edge of the box on corners and isn't afraid to let fly from distance.

Leg 3: Milos Kerkez to commit 1+ foul

Moving onto fouls, I have to side with Kerkez again.

He's committed 1+ foul in his last nine games for the Cherries and here he's set to face one a highly fouled player.

It's hard to know who will line up on the right of the home attack but the choices are all good in terms of their ability to draw fouls.

Facundo Buonanotte started at Arsenal last week and was well known for drawing fouls at Brighton last season. Jordan Ayew had a similar reputation at Crystal Palace - he led the league for fouls won per game - while Abdul Fatawu has consistently drawn multiple fouls.

Leg 4: James Justin to be fouled 2+ times

Add Kerkez for 1+ foul before backing Leicester's James Justin to be fouled 2+ times.

The Leicester right-back adds the value element to our Bet Builder.

He's 6/42.50 to draw 2+ fouls but he's actually landed the 3+ bet in four of his last five games.

Justin will push into Kerkez territory, while Dango Ouattara will likely keep his spot on the left wing. He's not the highest fouler around but has committed one in five of his last six starts.

Justin gets the nod and take the overall price to north of 7/18.00.

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