Bet of the Day

Flamengo v Fluminense: Derby chaos can land 5/1 Bet Builder

Referee Wilton Sampaio takes charge of Fla-Flu on Saturday
It could be a busy night in Rio for referee Wilton Sampaio

Our football props column turns its attention to a huge derby clash in Brazil on Saturday, one which tends to produce cards by the bucketload.


Flamengo v Fluminense
Saturday 11 November, 21:30

Regular readers will know I love a proper derby rivalry and they don't come much more fearsome than the one in Rio de Janeiro.

Leg 1: Red card in the match

Fla-Flu is a rivalry for the ages and it's really hit new heights on the cards front of late.

Since fans returned post-COVID lockdown, the booking points tallies have been as follows: 135, 50, 35, 70, 85, 95, 150, 105, 130, 100, 150, 90.

For the uninitiated, it's 10 points for a yellow and 25 for a red.

Eight of the last 11 meetings have now seen a player sent off so, at 15/82.88, that option immediately looks a good play.

For this particular showdown, Flamengo need a win as they battle for a top-four finish and a place in next season's Copa Libertadores. They currently sit fifth.

The South American version of the Champions League is a competition Fluminense won only last weekend and I have little doubt they'd love to prevent Flamengo getting their shot at that prize in 2024.

Likewise, Flamengo will be determined to make a point by beating the newly-crowned continental champions. In short, expect a highly-competitive game.

Admittedly, the choice of referee - Wilton Sampaio - could be better but the appointment has mattered little in this fixture in recent times.

Leg 2: Andre to be shown a card

Given the expectation of cards, it's also worth browsing the player-card market where Fluminense midfielder Andre looks the standout selection.

A player linked heavily with a move to the Premier League, Andre as been carded in 10 of his 25 Serie A games this season.

And, more importantly, he has an excellent record for cards in this derby, receiving one in eight of the 13 that he's started.

Put the two together and you get a Bet Builder which pays just under 5/16.00.

That may seem short to those used to betting on cards in the UK but they do things differently in South America, especially in Rio.

Back a red card in the match & Andre to be shown a card in Flamengo v Fluminense @ around 5/16.00

Bet now

Opta stats: The best number-based bets in this weekend's PL games


Recommended bets

Column P/L 2023/24

Staked: 92pts
Returned: 99.9pts
P/L: +7.9pts

2022/23 P/L: +68.69pts

New Customers can get £50 in free bets!

Available to new customers only. Place a £10 bet on the Betfair Sportsbook and you will receive £50 in free bets to use on Bet Builders and Accas! Opt-in here and T&cs apply.

Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.