Bet of the Day

Birmingham v Blackburn Tips: Back 8/1 Bet Builder double

Krystian Bielik: Birmingham City's Poland international
Krystian Bielik - carded in 9 of his 26 Championship appearances this season

Our football props column was back in the winners' circle on Monday and it's aiming for more success with an 8/1 double for Tuesday night's Championship action.

Birmingham v Blackburn
Tuesday 13 February, 19:45
Live on Sky Sports (via red button)

After a winner for this column on Monday, we're going to play two bets on Tuesday which have landed regularly in 2023/24.

Leg 1: Sammie Szmodics to score

First up is an obvious one. The Championship's top scorer is Blackburn's Sammie Szmodics, who should fancy his chances of adding more goals against struggling Birmingham.

The hosts have won just two of their last 12 and come into this match having lost their last three, all without scoring. They are yet to keep a clean sheet in 2024 and look ripe for the picking by Szmodics.

The former Colchester man has 22 goals in 31 games in all competitions this season, including 17 in 28 Championship appearances.

More than half of those goals (9) have come in away games so he isn't some sort of home-track bully.

He's netted in 13 of those 28 games (46%) but odds of 17/102.70 imply a 37% chance.

Leg 2: Krystian Bielik to be shown a card

Let's add that bet to a cards one, namely the hosts' Krystian Bielik to be shown a card.

The Polish international has been carded in nine of his 26 Championship appearances so far.

To look at percentages again, that produces a figure of 35%, while odds of 13/53.60 suggest a 28% chance.

Only Millwall have committed more fouls than Birmingham with Bielik eighth in the division for fouls made.

Referee Thomas Kirk could be better but he's still averaging above four cards per game in the EFL this season.

A possible concern is that Bielik looks set to line up at centre-back again, rather than in his usual defensive-midfield role.

However, that unfamiliarity could work in punters' favour - Bielik has been carded in two of his three games in that position since moving into it last month.

The Bet Builder double pays north of 8/19.00.

Back Szmodics to score & Bielik to be shown a card @ around 8/19.00

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Column P/L 2023/24

Staked: 175pts

Returned: 190.63pts

P/L: +15.63pts

2022/23 P/L: +68.69pts

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Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.