Bet of the Day

Belgium v Italy Tips: Back visitors for victory

  • Tobias Gourlay
  • Published on
  • Updated on
Italy coach Luciano Spalletti clapping
Luciano Spalletti can be proud of his Italy team to this point in the Nations League

The Azzurri could enjoy their trip to Brussels, reckons Tobias Gourlay

  • Italy won 3/4 in group so far

  • Italians delivered +2.5 Goals in 6/6 Nations League games

  • Back Italy to win & Over 2.5 Goals


Belgium v Italy
Thursday 19:45 (Live on Premier Player)

In Brazil last night, Flamengo and Atletico MG never got going. They drew 0-0 to shut down our BTTS bet.

We're in Brussels today for the Nations League game between Belgium and Italy. The hosts have struggled in Group A2 to this point, while Italy have excelled. We fancy the visitors to cement their position at the top of the table tonight...

Belgium are W1-D1-L2, with their only win coming on neutral turf against Israel. A pair of defeats to France have sandwiched a 2-2 draw with Italy in Rome, where the Italians were 2-0 up before having a man sent off in the first half.

Going back to the start of the Euros in the summer, Belgium have now lost 4/8 games. For this match, Domenico Tedescho is without big-name players including Kevin De Bruyne, Jeremy Doku and Youri Tielemans.

Italy, in contrast, look healthy and confident. The Azzurri are W3-D1-L0 and have been full of goals. They've scored at least twice in all four matches, including an impressive 3-1 win in France.

However, the Italians have conceded in all four of those games. Going back to 2023, each of Italy's last six Nations League games have delivered Over 2.5 Goals. For Belgium, it's five straight Nations League home games with +2.5 Goals, with both teams scoring every time. We'll take the Italians to come out on top in a high scorer tonight.

Now read our Greece v England tips here!

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Tobias Gourlay avatar

Tobias Gourlay

A Betfair regular since Euro 2008, Tobias covers every blade of grass in every league of the world to find our Football Bet of the Day.

Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.

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