West Ham v Liverpool: Back more misery for Liverpool at 10/3

• Another Liverpool loss?

• Nine defeats in 12 for the Reds

• West Ham in scoring form

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West Ham v Liverpool
Sunday November 30, 14:05
Live on Sky Sports

Liverpool's struggles

Liverpool are in crisis. Six defeats in seven in the Premier League and across all competitions it's nine defeats in their last 12. And those defeats are getting worse. Their last three have all been by three goals, including two at Anfield.

It's not just that they're losing games but it's the manner of them. In all six of their league defeats they have been behind at half-time. So they are doing themselves no favours by regularly falling behind early on as they seem unable to cope with adversity and fight back.

Story of the odds

The odds of the games Liverpool have lost read as the following:

• 17/29.50 PSV 1-4
• 6/17.00 Nottingham Forest 0-3
• 10/111.91 Man City 0-3
• 11/82.38 Crystal Palace (EFL Cup) 0-3
• 3/14.00 Brentford 2-3
• 7/24.50 Man Utd 1-2
• 19/102.90 Chelsea 1-2
• 4/15.00 Galatasaray 0-1
• 16/54.20 Crystal Palace (league) 1-2

The average odds of those defeats is around 7/24.50 and it's interesting we are still getting prices like 17/29.50 (PSV) and 6/17.00 (Forest) for Liverpool to lose, with the market seemingly nowhere near as disheartened as everyone else including the players.

Against PSV, Liverpool were 1/31.33 to win at the beginning of the week but were backed into 1/41.25, despite only one outfield change from the mess against Forest and a downgrade in goalkeeper with Alisson missing out.

And we're seeing something similar here with West Ham already having drifted from 3/14.00 to 10/34.33 since Wednesday night. Why?

Well for all of their shortcomings, they are still creating chances. In their last three matches Liverpool's xG versus their opponents reads 6.59 - 5.39. But that alone lacks context. Often these chances have come at 0-0 or when the sides are level. As referenced earlier, Liverpool are struggling with adversity and after going behind the players look broken.

What's the bet?

Sunday's opposition in West Ham are only 6/42.50 to score first and only 13/82.63 to score over 1.5 goals when looking for some pro-Hammers bets. For me they're not bets I want to be taking at those prices against last seasons Champions for a side that is only outside the relegation zone on goal difference. Instead, I don't think there's any need to over complicate things by backing West Ham to win on the nose at 10/34.33 against a side with nine defeats in 12.

They seem to have come into a bit of form under new boss Nuno Espirito Santo with back-to-back wins at the London Stadium, scoring three goals in both games. And last weekend they were 2-0 up at Bournemouth before a second half onslaught of 21 shots meant they had to settle for a 2-2 draw. If West Ham take the lead and / or go on and get a second, do we think this version of Liverpool are capable of coming back? It seems unlikely.

Now read more Premier League tips here!