Premier League Big Match Focus: How to back a 7/2 Bet Builder in Tottenham v Newcastle

Richarlison in Spurs kit
Spurs could do with goal-shy Richarlison returning to form

Tom Victor previews Spurs v Newcastle, with both teams trying to rebound from midweek defeats...

  • Both teams outside top four

  • Game tends to produce goals

  • Read Betfair's new 90 minute payout offer here

  • Tottenham Hotspur v Newcastle United
    Sunday, 16:30
    Sky Sports Main Event

    After the Premier League's midweek action left the top four battle wide open, two clubs in European contention will meet in North London on Sunday.

    Spurs and Newcastle are both coming off Thursday night games, when they played in full knowledge of what those above them in the table had done. After watching Aston Villa steal a march on Wednesday, though, both fell to unexpected defeats.

    Spurs' loss at home to West Ham and Newcastle's reverse at Everton leave them in fifth and seventh respectively, one point apart. That could all change when they meet in North London on Sunday, though.

    Newcastle on a run

    If Newcastle claim three points on Sunday, it will be their 12th win away at Tottenham. That will be a new record for their most wins away to a single Premier League opponent, and they're 23/103.30 to get the job done.

    Win number 11 was part of a league double over the same opponents last term. While the 6-1 home victory caught the eye, but a 2-1 win at Spurs was just as important to the eventually successful Champions League push.

    That was Newcastle's first league double over Spurs since the 2015-16 season, when it wasn't enough to save the Magpies from relegation. The last time they won more than two in a row, though, they ended with five straight wins between 2006 and 2008.

    Goals in store

    Newcastle's away win last season helped continue a run of eight unbeaten games in London, though they've only played once in the capital this season, drawing 2-2 at West Ham. Ironically, their last defeat in the city coming in the form of a 5-1 hammering at the hands of Spurs themselves in 2022.

    Back more than 1.5 first-half goals @ 6/52.20

    Bet now

    There were two first-half goals in that 5-1 loss, and the last four meetings between Spurs and Newcastle have brought a combined 13 before the half-time break. Since the advent of the Premier League, 86 first-half goals have been scored in the fixture, the third-highest for any match-up.

    Spurs captain Son Heung-min scored at both ends in the opening 10 minutes of last Sunday's game against Manchester City, and could be important if his team wants to strike early. The South Korea star is 5/16.00 to score first and 7/52.40 to net at any time, though there was an injury worry after he came off against West Ham.

    Sunday pain for Spurs

    Tottenham have both played more Premier League games on a Sunday than any other team and lost more than any other team. Their 105 defeats include last season's 6-1 loss at St James' Park, while this term they have 24 points from 11 non-Sunday games but just three from their four Sunday outings.

    Newcastle, in comparison, are unbeaten across their last eight away league games played on a Sunday. That run includes this season's 8-0 victory at Sheffield United, when eight different players found the net.

    Back Isak 1+ shots on target @ 2/51.40

    Bet now

    It was in that game that Anthony Gordon scored what remains his only away goal of the season, though he has scored important goals at home including winners against Arsenal and Manchester United. The former Everton star is 5/23.50 to score at any time on Sunday.

    Tottenham v Newcastle prediction

    Given what has happened in recent fixtures, we can expect goals. Spurs have struggled for clean sheets and Joelinton - who has more goals against Spurs than against any other Premier League side - will be among those looking to beat Guglielmo Vicario, as will Alexander Isak after his brace in the last meeting.

    We have our eye on the Bet Builder market for this game. More than 1.5 goals in the first half, with Son to score or assist and 1+ shots on target for Isak, can be backed at 7/24.50.

    Back more than 1.5 first half goals, Son to score or assist and Isak 1+ shots on target @ 7/24.50

    Bet now

    Read more Premier League Tips and Previews here.

Staked: 30.00pts

Returned: 11.20pts

P/L: -18.80pts

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