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Goals expected at Everton and Leeds on Tuesday
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Bournemouth undervalued and prime Wolves card candidates
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Listen to Football...Only Bettor Premier League matchday 29 preview
Bournemouth v Brentford Tip - Back the home side with security
Click here for Bournemouth v Brentford odds
Tuesday, 19:30
Live on TNT Sports
Brentford have won their last five matches against Bournemouth in all competitions so this trip will hold no fear for them on Tuesday night. This success has been built on their ability to find the back of the net having scored at least two goals in their last seven meetings. However, those last seven matches date back to the beginning of 2023 and lots has changed in the meantime, most notably Brentford's manager in Keith Andrews' first season in-charge.
Match-ups between these two tend to be goal heavy with five of the last six seeing three or more goals, something that has been prevalent in Bournemouth games this season with 15 of their last 24 games registering winners. The odds are, however, prohibitive at just 1.654/6. Instead, the home side look undervalued at 2.486/4 based on this season.
They sit just four points behind Brentford in the table and there's nothing splitting them based on expected points. With home advantage and an unbeaten eight game run coming into this, they should be sided with in the Draw No Bet market at 1.834/5.
Back Bournemouth Draw No Bet v Brentford
Everton v Burnley Tip - Chance goals
Click here for Everton v Burnley odds
Tuesday, 19:30
Live on TNT Sports
Despite admirably coming back from 3-0 down against Brentford to 3-3, Burnley once again lost, by a scoreline of 4-3 after two cruelly disallowed goals. It means they've now lost 18 of their last 19 Premier League matches and were dumped out of the FA Cup at home 2-1 by League One Mansfield.
Everton generally take care of Burnley at home with five wins in their last six meetings but the Toffees have only won four games at the their new Hill Dickinson Stadium all season so they can't be backed at 4/71.57. Instead we'll chance goals after both sides' recent uptick in goal heavy games. Eight of Burnley's last 12 matches have seen Over 2.5 goals and, while Everton's rate hasn't been at the same level, it looks like there should have been more with seven of their last 10 matches seeing greater than 2.5 expected goals.
Burnley have scored three or more by themselves in two of their last three Premier League matches, after both times going 2-0 down, as it looks like they've still got plenty of fight left in them.
Back Over 2.5 goals in Everton v Burnley
Leeds v Sunderland Tip - Back more Elland Road goals
Click here for Leeds v Sunderland odds
Tuesday, 19:30
Live on TNT Sports
It is 15th versus 12th as Leeds host Sunderland, yet the home side have managed just seven wins all season - the fourth lowest - and the away side have lost just nine times in 28 games (32%) - so the fact that Leeds are odds-on at 10/111.91 looks incredibly short, especially with the return from injury of Sunderland captain Granit Xhaka.
Odds-wise, Over 2.5 goals looks undervalued as the underdog at 19/201.95. It's paid out as winner in 15 of Leeds' last 24 games and six of the last eight for Sunderland. At Elland Road it's been a winner in nine of the last 12 matches with only Newcastle United's St James Park having a better strike rate for Over 2.5 goals this season.
Back Over 2.5 goals in Leeds v Sunderland
Wolves v Liverpool Tip - Back cards for the home side
Click here for Wolves v Liverpool odds
Tuesday, 20:15
Live on TNT Sports
This is the first of two meetings at Molineux between these sides this week as they lock horns again on Friday night in the FA Cup. Generally, Liverpool get the better of Wolves having won their last six matches against them across all competitions, scoring at least two goals in all six. But Liverpool this season has to be arguably the most untrustworthy version in that time and certainly not a side who can be trusted to win at just 4/111.36. That's especially so given the fight Wolves have shown in their two previous home games, with a magnificent win over Aston Villa and coming back from 2-0 down against Arsenal to draw 2-2.
It's this fight I want to focus on as the home side contains the two most booked players in the Premier League this season in Andre and Yerson Mosquera who both have nine cards for the season, despite only starting 21 and 18 games respectively. Referee Thomas Brammal is averaging over four cards per-game in the top flight this season. Andre was booked in the reverse meeting and here last season. It's 17/29.50 both pick up a card - a bet that has won three times in the last six weeks - and one to consider with Betfair running Bet £10 Get £10 on bet builders and accas for this Premier League round.
Back Andre and Yerson Mosquera both to be shown a card
Stinch's Acca - Back my best bets in a treble at 4/1
With Betfair offering football punters the chance to Bet £10 and Get £10 on the midweek Premier League action, this is the perfect opportunity to combine three of the above selections in a Tuesday treble.
Back Over 2.5 goals in Leeds v Sunderland and Everton v Burnley and Bournemouth and Draw Double Chance