English Premier League Tips

Premier League Tipsheet: Four tempting bets for Saturday from 19/20 to 5/2

  • Stephen Tudor
  • Published on
  • Updated on
  • 3.00 min read
Mauricio Pochettino, Chelsea boss
Poch is stabilising the Blues

Ste Tudor highlights where the goals and three points will likely be found to get this weekend started...


Chelsea v Brentford (12:30) - Blues reborn

The Bees have won at Stamford Bridge for two seasons running, additonally holding their supposed superiors to a goalless stalemate at the Gtech last term. After ending a six-match winless run by comprehensively beating Burnley last Saturday, they'll likely be bright from the off in a fixture that typically brings out the best in them.

The promise of early drama is especially pertinent given that, aside from West Ham, no team has opened the scoring more than Thomas Frank's men in 2023/24. Their problem is keeping hold of leads, on five occasions going in front then failing to secure the points.

Chelsea too appear to be reinvigorated, a late collapse at home to Arsenal not disguising the fact that Mauricio Pochettino's side are starting to look cohesive and dangerous.

In their first six games, the Blues averaged a goal every 270 minutes. In their last three they have notched every 33 minutes.

Cole Palmer has been one of the stand-out performers in recent weeks but it's Raheem Sterling who should be backed. The winger has scored six of his last eight for Chelsea on home soil.

Over 2.5 goals, yes to BTTS and Sterling to score or assist tempts @ 5/23.50

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Arsenal v Sheff Utd (15:00) - Late blitz


This is the latest into an English top-flight season that an unbeaten side and a winless side have faced one another for exactly 100 years. It requires a colossal flight of fancy to imagine any change in circumstance come the final whistle.

The Blades were admittedly an improved proposition last week, managing more shots on target than Manchester United, but as ever their porous defence cost them dear. Facing a ridiculous 19 attempts on their goal per 90 perhaps it's inevitable that they've only kept the opposition out for five halves of football all season.

The Gunners for their part have kept the joint-most clean sheets and won't be overly perturbed by facing a limited attacking roster who have scored just four from open play.

In Bukayo Saka they have a fit-again superstar who boasts six goal involvements in six while Gabriel Jesus' form is presently piqued, the Brazilian scoring and assisting mid-week.

Even if the Brazilian fails to shrug off a thigh complaint this one could get ugly, and we can certainly expect some late goals.

United have conceded eight times in the final 15 minutes of games whereas two-thirds of Arsenal's league goal-haul has been converted after the break.

Back the second half to have the most goals @ 10/111.91

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Bournemouth v Burnley (15:00) - Judgement day

This is the one, as Ian Brown used to sing, badly on occasion.

After two-and-a-half months of hemorrhaging goals and shared misery, the Cherries and the Clarets finally get the opportunity to face a side as malfunctioning as they are. It's judgement day.

Or at least it feels like it for Andoni Iraola, whose methods have not taken at Dean Court, leaving them too often doing the right things but bluntly, not very well.

Bournemouth play a high-intensity pressing game but have had the most passes between the lines completed against them. Despite committing plenty of men forward out of possession they rank only 11th for high turnovers.

Moreover, they are their own worst enemies, dropping 11 points from winning positions this term.

Subsequently, Iraola is 8/11 to be the next Premier League manager to lose his job and that feels distinctly feasible should they lose at the weekend, to a Burnley side that has failed to keep a clean sheet all season.

Kompany.jpg

Vincent Kompany's strugglers have been marginally better on the road in 2023/24 but picking out a winner here feels like interrupting the fates.

Instead, go for a low-scoring encounter. On five occasions last season there was a bottom-three clash and they produced only 1.8 goals per 90.

Go for under 2.5 goals @ 19/201.95

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Wolves v Newcastle (15:00) - Wilson to strike

Wolves are unbeaten in four and will be greatly encouraged by the absence of Alexander Isak from the visitor's starting line-up, the Swede suffering a recurrence of a groin problem.

It reveals the strength in depth the Magpies possess, however, that they're able to draft in Callum Wilson. The England forward has scored every 66 minutes this term, furthermore, averaging 3.3 shots on target per 90.

Eddie Howe's side are not only the league's highest scorers, but have the highest xG and best shot conversion rate, so it's pertinent that even in a good spell, Wolves seem incapable of keeping a shut-out. All four of their recent, positive results have seen them concede once.

Don't discount an early strike either, with Newcastle notching inside 20 minutes in three of their last four outings.

2+ shots on target for Callum Wilson is a shout @ 13/102.30

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Stephen Tudor avatar

Stephen Tudor

Stephen Tudor has written extensively about football and sports betting for well over a decade.

Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.

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