English Premier League

Premier League Opta Stats: MD8's 8/1 winner paves way for MD9

Leicester's James Maddison
Can Gareth Southgate really avoid James Maddison any longer?

James Maddison's heroics gives us an 8/1 winner last weekend and is tipped again at 9/2...

  • James Maddison's display on Monday lands a 9.08/1 double for the column
  • MD8's official 4.84/1 reccomended bet of the week falls just short in NLD
  • 1 pt per Betfair Bet last weekend would have you 2.88 pts in profit
  • Betfair's Stats guru Alex Boyes runs through the pre-match Opta stats to aid your Premier League betting ahead of the weekend's action

Bournemouth v Leicester City

Maddison to shine again

The Opta Stat:

"James Maddison has been directly involved in 19 Premier League goals in 24 appearances during 2022 (12 goals, 7 assists), a figure only three players can better and only one Englishman (Harry Kane, 29). He has also scored six Premier League goals from outside the box this calendar year, the most by a player in a year since 2017, when three players had 6+ - Harry Kane (8), Philippe Coutinho (7) and Kevin De Bruyne (6)."

The Betfair Bet:

Chelsea v Wolverhampton Wanderers

Potter's home spell to get off to winning start

The Opta Stat:

"This will be Graham Potter's first Premier League home match in charge of Chelsea; none of the last 14 managers to take charge of the Blues in the competition have lost their first home game (W10 D4) since Graham Rix and Ray Wilkins did so in joint-caretaker charge against Leicester in September 2000. Indeed, Wolves haven't scored more than once in any of their last 11 Premier League games, since a 2-2 draw with Chelsea at Stamford Bridge in May. Wolves are the lowest scorers of any Premier League side this season (3), and are the only side yet to score after half-time so far."

The Betfair Bet:

Manchester City v Southampton

Records are made to be broken

Thumbnail image for Pep Guardiola, Man City.jpg

The Opta Stat:

"Man City's 29 goals after eight games is the joint-most at this stage of a Premier League campaign, level with their own record from 2017-18. Overall, in the Premier League they've scored 6+ goals in 21 different matches - including twice this season - two more than any other side, despite not featuring in five seasons. Star striker Erling Haaland meanwhile, has scored 14 goals in eight Premier League games, netting a hattrick in each of his last three appearances at the Etihad. It's just one goal fewer than the Citizens' top league scorer netted last season (Kevin De Bruyne, 15)."

The Betfair Bet:

Newcastle United v Brentford

Goals, goals, and more goals

The Opta Stat:

"The five league meetings between Newcastle and Brentford at St James' Park have seen 24 goals scored at an average of 4.8 per game. All of these games have been in a different decade (1930s, 1940s, 1990s, 2010s, 2020s)."

The Betfair Bet:

Brighton & Hove Albion v Tottenham Hotspur

Kane taunts Seagulls

The Opta Stat:

"This will be Roberto De Zerbi's first home game in charge of Brighton. He faced Spurs boss Antonio Conte four times during his time in Serie A, but never ended on the winning side against him (D1 L3). Indeed, Conte's man striker Harry Kane became the first ever player to score 100 away goals in the Premier League in their defeat against Arsenal last time out. Kane has scored five goals in his last seven Premier League games against Brighton, including three in four at the Amex Stadium."

The Betfair Bet:

Read Mark O'Haire's match preview here!

Crystal Palace v Leeds United

Leeds & London do not mix

Thumbnail image for Patrick Vieira, Palace boss.jpg

The Opta Stat:

"Crystal Palace have scored the first goal in four of their last six Premier League games, conceding first in one, and the other finishing 0-0. The Eagles won the only game in which they conceded first in this run, while they've not won away of the four games in which they've opened the scoring (D2 L2). Leeds, on the other hand, have kept just one clean sheet in their last 16 Premier League games in London (W3 D1 L12), with that coming via a goalless draw at Crystal Palace in April last season."

The Betfair Bet:

West Ham United v Fulham

Hammers' bragging rights

"Fulham have kept just one clean sheet in their 21 away top-flight matches against West Ham United, shipping 49 goals in those other 20 games. The only Cottagers goalkeeper to keep a clean sheet on the road in the top-flight against the Hammers was Edwin van der Sar in a 2-0 win in November 2001."

Arsenal v Liverpool

Firmino to outshine Jesus?

The Opta Stat:

"Arsenal are on a run of 13 consecutive Premier League matches without a clean sheet against Liverpool, conceding 39 goals in those games (3 per game on AVG). Liverpool, though, have conceded the first goal in nine of their last 11 Premier League games, but have only gone on to lose one of those (1-2 vs Manchester United in August). Striker Roberto Firmino has five goals in six Premier League games this season, with the Brazilian also scoring more Premier League goals against Arsenal (9) than he has versus any other opponent."

The Betfair Bet:

Everton v Manchester United

Sticky start for Red Devils

Frank Lampard, Everton boss.jpg

The Opta Stat:

"Manchester United have conceded a league-high share 71% of their Premier League goals in the first half of games this season (10/14). Indeed, their 10 goals conceded before half-time is three more than Everton have conceded in total, with the Toffees having the best defensive record in the competition this term (7 goals conceded)."

The Befair Bet:

Nottingham Forest v Aston Villa

Cooper's last dance?

The Opta Stat:

"Nottingham Forest have lost six of their eight Premier League matches this season (W1 D1), including their last five in a row while conceding 18 goals. Forest last lost six in a row in the league in October 2020, and
last did so in the top-flight in September 1992 under Brian Clough. Indeed, after Aston Villa conceded in 11 consecutive Premier League matches between May and September, they've now kept clean sheets in their last two against Southampton and Leeds. The Villans last kept three in a row in February and March, with two of those three also coming against Southampton and Leeds."

The Betfair Bet:

Recommended bets

Staked: 2 pts

Returned: 4.0 pts

P/L: +2.0 pts

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