Premier League Opta Stats: Best bets for Matchday 29

• Tips for every Premier League Matchday 29 fixture

• Bets for Liverpool's trip to Wolves, Newcastle v Man U and more

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Bournemouth v Brentford: Back Thiago to strike again

Tuesday 3 March, 19:30
Live on TNT

The Opta Stat:

Igor Thiago's 18 goals have been worth 15 points to Brentford in the Premier League this season, the most of any player in the competition so far this term. 

Remember that, thanks to Safe Sub, if Thiago is substituted without scoring then your bet will automatically be carried by the player who replaces him.

Betfair Bet: Back Thigao to score @ 11/102.11

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Everton v Burnley: Back Clarets to avoid defeat as home curse continues

Tuesday 3 March, 19:30
Live on TNT

The Opta Stat:

Everton are winless in their last six Premier League home games (D2 L4), last going longer without a home win in October 1998 (9). The Toffees have lost their last two at the Hill Dickinson Stadium, but haven't lost three home league matches in a row since September 2023 (a run of 4).

Betfair Bet: Back Burnley Double Chance @ 13/102.30

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Leeds v Sunderland: Back home win

Tuesday 3 March, 19:30
Live on TNT

The Opta Stat:

Five of the last six Premier League matches between two newly promoted sides have been won by the home team (D1); this is as many home wins as the previous 26 between promoted clubs in the division beforehand (6 draws, 15 away wins).

Betfair Bet: Back Leeds @ 10/111.91

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Wolves v Liverpool: Back goalless first-half

Tuesday 3 March, 20:15
Live on TNT

The Opta Stat:

Just 14% of Liverpool's away league goals this season have been scored in the first half (3/21), with only one of those coming before the 45th minute (Ryan Gravenberch, 35th min v Newcastle in August). In Premier League history, only three sides have a lower ratio of away goals in a season scored before half-time: West Brom in 2008-09 (10% - 1/10), Leicester in 1994-95 (12% - 2/17), and Southampton in 1998-99 (13% - 1/8). Wolves haven't scored before half time in any of their last nine Premier League games. Only once have they gone 10 games without a first half goal, doing so between August and November 2018. 

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Aston Villa v Chelsea: Back Abraham to haunt old club

Wednesday 4 March, 19:30
Live on TNT

The Opta Stat:

Tammy Abraham, who scored 21 goals in 58 Premier League appearances for Chelsea, is looking to score in back-to-back home games in the competition for the first time since December 2019 when he was a Blues player - the second game of which was against his current side Aston Villa.

Betfair Bet: Back Abraham to score @ 15/82.88

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Brighton v Arsenal: Back Gyokeres to score away again

Wednesday 4 March, 19:30
Live on TNT

The Opta Stat:

Viktor Gyökeres has been involved in six goals in his last seven away games for Arsenal in all competitions (5 goals, 1 assist), having scored just twice (no assists) in his first 12 on the road for the Gunners. 

Betfair Bet: Back Gyokeres to score  @ 7/52.40

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Fulham v West Ham: Back a single-goal win for the Cottagers

Wednesday 4 March, 19:30
Live on TNT

The Opta Stat:

Fulham have won seven of their last 10 home evening kick-offs (7pm or later) in the Premier League (D1 L2), beating Nottingham Forest 1-0 and Chelsea 2-1 in their last two. They are looking to record just their second Premier League double over West Ham United, beating them twice in 2023-24. They won 1-0 at the London Stadium earlier this season.

Betfair Bet: Back Fulham to win by exactly one goal @ 3/14.00

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Man City v Nottm Forest: Back City to march on in title chase

Wednesday 4 March, 19:30
Live on TNT

The Opta Stat:

Since returning to the Premier League in 2022-23, Nottingham Forest have lost all three of their away Premier League games against Man City without scoring, conceding 11 times. They are winless in eight away top-flight visits (D3 L5) since a 3-0 win in November 1989.

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Newcastle v Man Utd: Back away win and goals at both ends

Wednesday 4 March, 20:15
Live on TNT

The Opta Stat:

Newcastle have lost each of their last three Premier League home games, last losing more consecutively at St James' Park between August and October 2018 (5). Manchester United have only lost one of their last 11 away Premier League games (W5 D5), a 1-2 defeat at Aston Villa in December. The Red Devils had only won one of their previous 11 on the road before this (D3 L7).

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Tottenham v Crystal Palace: Back Glasner to outwit Tudor again

Thursday 5 March, 20:00
Live on TNT

The Opta Stat:

Crystal Palace manager Oliver Glasner has won both of his previous meetings with Spurs' Igor Tudor, with his Eintracht Frankfurt side winning home and away against Tudor's Marseille in the 2022-23 UEFA Champions League group stage. After nine consecutive away league defeats at Tottenham Hotspur between 2015-16 and 2023-24, Crystal Palace won this exact fixture 2-0 last season. 

Betfair Bet: Back Palace and U3.5 goals @ 11/43.75

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Get the Premier League state of play before Matchdayn 29

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