Premier League Opta Stats: Best bets for Matchday 35

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Leeds v Burnley - Back Whites for goals

Friday 1 May, 20:00, Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat: 

This is the sixth time Leeds are facing a side in the Premier League who have already been relegated, and first since May 2021 against West Bromwich Albion. They've won each of their previous five by an aggregate score of 18-3.

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Wolves v Sunderland - Back Black Cats to win to nil

Saturday 2 May, 15:00

The Opta Stat: 

Wolves have lost all four of their Premier League games against promoted sides this season - only four teams have ever lost five in a single campaign: Ipswich Town (1994-95), Sunderland (2002-03), Leicester City and Southampton (both 2022-23). Wolves have failed to score in a league-high 18 different Premier League games this season.

The Bet: Back Sunderland to win to nil @ 11/43.75

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Newcastle v Brighton - Back Seagulls to down Magpies

Saturday 2 May, 15:00

The Opta Stat: 

Brighton have won six of their last eight Premier League games (D1 L1), as many as in their previous 23 (D9 L8). They've scored at least twice in each of their last four, last doing so in five in a row in February/March 2025.

The Bet: Back Brighton @ 17/102.70

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Brentford v West Ham - Back Hammers to claim crucial win

Saturday 2 May, 15:00

The Opta Stat: 

West Ham have earned 22 points from their last 13 Premier League games (W6 D4 L3) and are two points clear of the relegation zone - at the start of this run, they were seven points from safety. Indeed, only five clubs have won more points than the Hammers over the last 13 matchdays.

West Ham have conceded in all nine of their Premier League games against Brentford, only facing Ipswich Town more without ever keeping a clean sheet (10).

The Bet: Back West Ham and both teams to score @ 5/16.00

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Arsenal v Fulham - Back decisive second-half for Gunnners

Saturday 2 May, 17:30, Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat: 

Fulham are one of two sides - along with Manchester City - yet to concede a goal in the opening 15 minutes of Premier League matches this season. However, the Cottagers have conceded more goals than anyone else in the first 15 minutes after half-time (12), while Arsenal are the most prolific side in this timeframe (14 goals scored).

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Bournemouth v Crystal Palace - Back low-scoring game

Sunday 3 May, 14:00, Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat: 

Crystal Palace have kept a clean sheet in five of their eight Premier League away games against Bournemouth - at no other side have they recorded more shutouts in the competition (also 5 at Leicester).

The Bet: Back Under 1.5 goals @ 7/24.50

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Man Utd v Liverpool - Back Fernandes in home win

Sunday 3 May, 15:30, Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat: 

Manchester United have won the third-most home points in the Premier League this season (36) - last season, they were 14th in the home table with 24 points. The Red Devils have won six of their last seven at Old Trafford, losing the other to Leeds. 

Man Utd captain Bruno Fernandes has 19 Premier League assists this season and is one behind the seasonal record set by Thierry Henry for Arsenal in 2002-03 and Kevin De Bruyne for Man City in 201920. He's created 114 chances this season, 53 more than any other player. 

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Aston Villa v Tottenham - Back Watkins to strike

Sunday 3 May, 19:00, Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat: 

Ten of Ollie Watkins' 11 Premier League goals this season have come since the start of December, no player has more in that time. Indeed, he's scored goals in three previous Premier League games against sides managed by Roberto De Zerbi, including a hat-trick in September 2023.

The Bet: Back Watkins to score @ 7/52.40

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Chelsea v Nottm Forest - Back Trees to give Blues Tricky test

Monday 4 May, 15:00

The Opta Stat: 

Nottingham Forest have lost just two of their eight Premier League away games against Chelsea (W2 D4), and are unbeaten in all three visits to Stamford Bridge since their return to the competition in 2022 (W1 D2).

The Bet: Back Forest Double Chance @ 11/102.11

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Everton v Man City - Back Pep's men to march on

Monday 4 May, 20:00, Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat: 

Manchester City are unbeaten in their last 11 league games (W8 D3), collecting more points (24) and conceding fewer goals (8) than any other side during that run.

The Bet: Back Man City and Under 3.5 goals @ 7/52.40

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Now read Mark Stinchcombe's Premier League Saturday Tips

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