Premier League Opta Stats: Best bets for Matchday 17

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Get Opta stats and the best bets for Premier League matchday 17

Get the Opta stats and a tip for all 10 Premier League Matchday 17 fixtures this weekend including Tottenham v Liverpool on Saturday and Aston Villa v Man Utd on Sunday...

  • Tips for every Premier League Matchday 17 fixture

  • Kick off the weekend with Newcastle v Chelsea bet builder at 10/111.00

  • Struggling Spurs host Liverpool in Saturday's big game

  • Villa aim to extend ace home record against Man Utd

  • Safe Sub is here for the 2025-26 season - read all about it!

  • The World Darts is in full swing - get the latest tips!


Newcastle v Chelsea: Back Guimaraes to strike in home win

Newcastle v Chelsea
Saturday 20 December, 12:30
Live on TNT

The Opta Stat:

Newcastle have won their last three Premier League home games against Chelsea, last winning more consecutively against them at St James' Park between 1994 and 1998 (4). Both Anthony Gordon and Bruno Guimarães have scored in each of Newcastle's last two Premier League home games. 


Bournemouth v Burnley: Back a game low on goals 

Bournemouth v Burnley
Saturday 20 December, 15:00

The Opta Stat:

Bournemouth have failed to score in each of their last two home Premier League matches - they haven't gone three without a goal since August/September 2023. 

Betfair Bet: Back under 2.5 goals @ 23/202.15


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Brighton v Sunderland: Back Black Cats' late show to earn point

Brighton v Sunderland
Saturday 20 December, 15:00

The Opta Stat:

Sunderland have scored fewer first half goals both overall (5) and as a percentage of their total goals (26%) than any other side in the Premier League this season. 

Betfair Bet: Back Brighton/Draw in HT/FT @ 13/114.00


Man City v West Ham: Back City to score at least three

Man City v West Ham
Saturday 20 December, 15:00

The Opta Stat:

Man City have won their last five Premier League games against West Ham, scoring at least three goals each time. Only Arsenal against Sunderland (2002 to 2007) and Manchester United against Nottingham Forest (1996 to 2022) have won six in a row against an opponent while scoring 3+ goals each time. 

Betfair Bet: Back Home Team Over 3.5 goals @ 7/42.75


Wolves v Brentford: Back hosts to get first win

Wolves v Brentford
Saturday 20 December, 15:00

The Opta Stat:

Since the start of last season, only Wolves (17) have lost more away Premier League matches than Brentford (15), with the Bees losing the last four in a row. In December, Brentford have lost nine out of 12 away Premier League matches (W1 D2), winning only at West Ham in 2022. 

Betfair Bet: Back Wolves @ 27/103.70


Tottenham v Liverpool: Back plenty of goals

Tottenham v Liverpool
Saturday 20 December, 17:30
Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat:

Liverpool v Tottenham Hotspur is the top scoring fixture in Premier League history (206 goals). The last three league matches between the pair have seen 21 goals (7 per game), while there have been at least three goals in 14 of their last 16 Premier League meetings. 


Leeds v Crystal Palace: Back Eagles to avoid defeat

Leeds v Crystal Palace
Saturday 20 December, 20:00
Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat:

No team has won more away Premier League points in 2025 than Crystal Palace (34), while the Eagles have won the most away games (10). The last non 'big six' side to win more than 10 away games in a year was West Ham in 2021 (11), and before that was the Eagles themselves in 2015 (11). 

Betfair Bet: Back Crystal Palace Double Chance and BTTS @ 5/42.25


Everton v Arsenal: Back Toffees to strike early

Everton v Arsenal
Saturday 20 December, 20:00
Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat:

Arsenal have conceded the first goal in five of their last seven Premier League away games, including each of the last three in a row. They last conceded first in more consecutive away games between September and December 2019, just before Mikel Arteta took charge (5 games)

Betfair Bet: Back Everton to score first goal in first-half @ 16/54.20


Aston Villa v Man Utd: Back home win with goals at both ends

Aston Villa v Man Utd
Sunday 21 December, 16:30
Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat: 

Aston Villa have won their last six Premier League games, and their last nine in all competitions. As a top flight side, they last won seven straight league games between December 1989 and February 1990, while they last won 10+ in all competitions between January and March 1914 (11).

Manchester United have dropped 10 points from winning positions in the Premier League this season, just one fewer than they did in the whole of 2024-25. Coming into this weekend's games, only Brentford (13) and Newcastle (11) have dropped more. 


Fulham v Nottm Forest: Back Wilson to find the net

Fulham v Nottm Forest
Monday 22 December, 20:00
Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat:

Fulham's Harry Wilson has been involved in six goals in his last four Premier League games (3 goals, 3 assists). Overall, he's been involved in eight goals this season (5 goals, 3 assists), his second most in a top-flight campaign after 2023-24 (10). 

Betfair Bet: Back Wilson to score @ 7/24.50


Now get Mark O'Haire's three tips for Premier League Matchday 17


Recommended bets

Back Newcastle to beat Chelsea and Guimaraes to score @ 10/111.00

Back Over 3.5 goals in Tottenham v Liverpool @ 13/82.63

Back Aston Villa to beat Man Utd and BTTS @ 13/53.60

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