Premier League Opta Stats: Back 3/1 & 9/1 Anfield tips and 4/1 'boring' bet at Man City

Aston Villa v Wolverhampton Wanderers

Can Cunha catch Villa cold?

The Opta Stat:

"Matheus Cunha has had exactly four shots in each of his last three Premier League appearances and only five players have had more shots in total this season than he has (13)."

The Betfair Bet:

Back Mathues Cunha to have 3 or more shots @ 13/102.30

Fulham v Newcastle United

The Opta Stat:

"Newcastle goalkeeper Nick Pope has made 16 saves in the Premier League this season, making 3+ saves in seven of his last eight appearances. Indeed, only teammate Bruno Guimarães (19) has won more fouls than Newcastle's Anthony Gordon (15) in the Premier League this season, with Gordon winning at least one foul in his last 10 appearances."

The Betfair Bet:

Back Newcastle Goalkeeper to make 3 or more saves, plus both Anthony Gordon & Bruno Guimaraes to be fouled 2 or more times @ 3/14.00

Leicester City v Everton

Chance the big price boost

The Opta Stat:

"Dominic Calvert-Lewin has scored in 14 Premier League defeats for Everton, including in his last two games against Bournemouth and Aston Villa. That's the most games scored in and lost for the Toffees in the competition, one ahead of Duncan Ferguson who lost 13 times when scoring for Everton. On the other hand, Leicester's Jamie Vardy has been involved in 12 goals in his last eight Premier League starts against teams starting the day bottom of the table (9 goals, 3 assists) and has netted seven goals in 14 appearances against Everton."

The Betfair Bet:

Back Jamie Vardy and Dominic Calvert-Lewin to have 2 or more shots on target each @ 10/111.00

Liverpool v Bournemouth

Reds have best defence, but can we profit on the prices?

The Opta Stat:

"Only Brighton (67) and Man City (66) have had more shots than Bournemouth (65) in the Premier League this season, with the Cherries' average of 16.3 per game their highest in a single top-flight campaign. Indeed, Bournemouth (26) have had more shots from outside the box than any other side in the Premier League this season. Liverpool's only goal conceded so far this term has come from distance, while 39% of the overall shots they've faced have come from outside the box (11/28)."

The Betfair Bet:

Southampton v Ipswich Town

Morsy has shortened so add in Delap fouls

The Opta Stat:

"Sam Morsy has been yellow carded in three of his four Premier League appearances this season for Ipswich Town - since the start of last season, Morsy has the most yellows of any player in the league in England's top four tiers (17). Indeed, only one player has conceded more fouls in the Premier League this season than Ipswich's Liam Delap (12), with Delap conceding at least one foul in all six of his appearances in the competition."

The Betfair Bet:

Back Sam Morsy to be carded & Liam Delap to commit 2 or more fouls @ 4/15.00

Tottenham Hotspur v Brentford

Play the card double

The Opta Stat:

"Despite only playing 154 minutes in the Premier League this season, no player has more yellow cards than Rodrigo Bentancur (3), with the Uruguayan receiving eight yellows in his last 16 appearances. On the other hand, Brentford's Christian Nørgaard has made 13 tackles in the Premier League this season, recording at least two in each of his last six games in the competition."

The Betfair Bet:

Back Bentancur and Norgaard both to be carded @ 8/19.00

Crystal Palace v Manchester United

Bruno's time is coming

The Opta Stat:

"Manchester United have the third highest expected goals total in the Premier League this season (7.9), but have scored just five goals - only Southampton have underperformed their xG (4.6 xG, 1 goal) more than the Red Devils so far this term. Indeed, Manchester United captain Bruno Fernandes has had more shots without scoring than any other player in the Premier League so far this season (13)."

The Betfair Bet:

Back Bruno Fernandes to score anytime @ 11/43.75

Brighton v Nottingham Forest

MGW can unlock Brighton back-line

The Opta Stat:

"Nottingham Forest's Morgan Gibbs-White has created more chances from open play than any other player in the Premier League this season (11)."

The Betfair Bet:

Back Morga Gibbs-White to assist anytime @ 7/24.50

Manchester City v Arsenal

Back Arteta to play the same as NLD

The Opta Stat:

"Arsenal haven't trailed in any of their last 11 away league games and could become the first side in Premier League history to go 12 successive matches on the road without falling behind in any (Aston Villa - also 11 between March and November 1998). Indeed, Arsenal kept a clean sheet in both Premier League meetings with Man City last season, having conceded at least once in their last 16 against the Citizens beforehand (40 goals in total)."

The Betfair Bet:

Back Draw/Draw in the HT/FT result market @ 4/15.00

Opta Stats P/L 2024-25 -