English Premier League Tips

Premier League Prices: No change at the bottom but is the title race all over?

  • Mike Norman
  • Published on
  • Updated on
  • 3:00 min read
Premier League Betting Odds
Get the latest Premier League prices after Matchday 30

Arsenal went further clear at the top of the Premier League table in Matchday 30 while at the bottom of the table all five clubs in danger of being relegated picked up a point. Mike Norman has the lastest betting odds...


Matchday 30 Results

  • Burnley 0-0 Bournemouth
  • Sunderland 0-1 Brighton
  • Arsenal 2-0 Everton
  • Chelsea 0-1 Newcastle
  • West Ham 1-1 Man City
  • Crystal Palace 0-0 Leeds
  • Man United 3-1 Aston Villa
  • Nottm Forest 0-0 Fulham
  • Liverpool 1-1 Tottenham
  • Brentford v Wolves (playing Monday - click here for our match preview)

Latest Standings

Teams P W D L GF GA PTS xGF xGA xGD EXP FCST
1 Arsenal 38 26 7 5 71 27 85 0 0 0
2 Man City 38 23 9 6 77 35 78 0 0 0
3 Man Utd 38 20 11 7 69 50 71 0 0 0
4 Aston Villa 38 19 8 11 56 49 65 0 0 0
5 Liverpool 38 17 9 12 63 53 60 0 0 0
6 Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 58 54 57 0 0 0
7 Sunderland 38 14 12 12 42 48 54 0 0 0
8 Brighton 38 14 11 13 52 46 53 0 0 0
9 Brentford 38 14 11 13 55 52 53 0 0 0
10 Chelsea 38 14 10 14 58 52 52 0 0 0
11 Fulham 38 15 7 16 47 51 52 0 0 0
12 Newcastle 38 14 7 17 53 55 49 0 0 0
13 Everton 38 13 10 15 47 50 49 0 0 0
14 Leeds 38 11 14 13 49 56 47 0 0 0
15 Crystal Palace 38 11 12 15 41 51 45 0 0 0
16 Nottm Forest 38 11 11 16 48 51 44 0 0 0
17 Spurs 38 10 11 17 48 57 41 0 0 0
18 West Ham 38 10 9 19 46 65 39 0 0 0
19 Burnley 38 4 10 24 38 75 22 0 0 0
20 Wolves 38 3 11 24 27 68 20 0 0 0
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Premier League Winner

A lot can change in just two games in the Premier League, and it certainly has for both Arsenal and Manchester City.

Just 10 days ago, on the night of Man City hosting Nottingham Forest, Pep Guardiola's men were just 7/42.75 in the Premier League Winner market with the Gunners - who were away at Brighton 24 hours later - 4/91.44 title favourites. City had a chance to cut the gap at the top of the table to just two points with a home game against Arsenal still to come.

But City fluffed their lines. They could manage only a 2-2 draw with Forest while Mikel Arteta's men beat Brighton 1-0 the following day. The Gunners were 1/81.12 to win the title after going seven points clear, and in Matchday 30 they stretched that lead to nine points when they beat Everton 2-0 before Man City dropped more points with a 1-1 draw at West Ham.

As a consequence, Arsenal are now long odds-on at 1/201.05 to be crowned champions with Man City out to 8/19.00. There's still hope for City - and for an exciting title race - as Guardiola's men still have a game in hand as well as having to play Arsenal at the Etihad, so in theory they could cut the gap to just three points. 

But the way both teams are playing at present, and the sizeable cushion that Arsenal have, it's looking extremely likely that the Premier League title is going to the red side of North London.

Team Current Odds Pre-Season Odds Sportsbook High Sportsbook Low
Arsenal 1/201.05 9/43.25 5/23.50 1/201.05
Man City 8/19.00 7/24.50 8/19.00 11/102.11

*Please Note: Pre-Season, Sportsbook High and Sportsbook Low Odds date back to Friday 15 August, the day the new Premier League season commenced. Any fluctuation in odds prior to 15 August are not recorded.

Below are the Real Time odds on the Betfair Exchange:


Premier League Top 4 Finish

Manchester United were the big winners in the race to finish in the top four as they beat one of their rivals, Aston Villa, 3-1 at Old Trafford in Matchday 30 while the two other clubs fighting to finish in the top four, Liverpool and Chelsea, both dropped points.

United's win keeps them third in the table, three points ahead of Aston Villa in fourth and five points clear of Liverpool in fifth who could only manage a 1-1 draw at home to relegation-threatened Tottenham. Not surprisingly Man United shortened to 1/111.09 in the Premier League Top 4 Finish market which is the shortest price they've been all season.

Liverpool have drifted slightly to 17/201.85 but Villa are the biggest drifters, out to 13/82.63 having been as short as 1/51.20 just a few weeks ago.

Chelsea are enduring a poor run of form under new boss Liam Rosenior and are out to 15/82.88 to finish in the top four this term. The Blues have won just one of their last five Premier League games and as a result have dropped to sixth in the table, though they are still just three points behind Villa in fourth.

Team Current Odds Pre-Season Odds Sportsbook High Sportsbook Low
Man United 1/111.09 3/14.00 5/16.00 1/111.09
Liverpool 17/201.85 1/161.06 5/42.25 1/331.03
Aston Villa 13/82.63 4/15.00 16/117.00 1/51.20
Chelsea 15/82.88 8/151.53 7/24.50 8/151.53

*Please Note: Pre-Season, Sportsbook High and Sportsbook Low Odds date back to Friday 15 August, the day the new Premier League season commenced. Any fluctuation in odds prior to 15 August are not recorded.

Below are the Real Time odds on the Betfair Exchange:


Premier League Relegation

If we're working on the assumption that Wolves will be relegated at the end of the season then there has been no change - in terms of positions - in the five places immediately above them with all five clubs drawing in Matchday 30.

You'd have to think that given Tottenham were away to Liverpool, not losing, and therefore not losing any further ground in the fight to avoid the drop, was a big win for Igor Tudor and his players and they've drifted slightly from 7/42.75 to 9/43.25 in the Premier League Relegation market.

Spurs remain 16th in the table but they're just one point above both Nottingham Forest - 9/43.25 for the drop - and West Ham (11/82.38) who drew 0-0 at home to Fulham and 1-1 at home to Man City respectively. Leeds are seemingly the only other team in danger of being relegated and they're 7/18.00 to go down.

Team Current Odds Pre-Season Odds Sportsbook High Sportsbook Low
Burnley 1/5001.00 1/41.25 1/21.50 1/5001.00
West Ham 11/82.38 5/16.00 5/16.00 1/101.10
Nottm Forest 9/43.25 8/19.00 8/19.00 2/13.00
Tottenham 9/43.25 100/1101.00 500/1501.00 7/42.75
Leeds 7/18.00 11/102.11 20/121.00 11/102.11

*Please Note: Pre-Season, Sportsbook High and Sportsbook Low Odds date back to Friday 15 August, the day the new Premier League season commenced. Any fluctuation in odds prior to 15 August are not recorded.

Below are the Real Time odds on the Betfair Exchange:

 


Now read our preview of Brentford v Wolves on Monday night


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Mike Norman avatar

Mike Norman

Sport fanatic with a particular love of football, golf, snooker and horse-racing

Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.

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