Brentford v Arsenal: Three stats and three bets for Thursday's London derby

• Arsenal odds-on favourites to win Premier League title

• Leaders have strong recent record at G-Tech Stadium

• Thiago tipped and the case for a correct score bet at 11/112.00

• Safe Sub is here for the 2025-26 season - read all about it!

Click here for Brentford v Arsenal odds
Thursday 12 February, 20:00 kick-off
Live on TNT

With 13 matches to go the finish line is starting to come into view and, although there is plenty of time for a twist or two, ahead of Matchday 26 in the Premier League Mikel Arteta's men are 2/111.18 to end their club's 22 year wait for the title. Going into this round, the Gunners were six points clear of second-placed Manchester City and a win over Brentford on Thursday would be another tricky stop ticked off on the road to glory.

Teams	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	PTS	xGF	xGA	xGD	EXP	FCST
1 Arsenal	38	26	7	5	71	27	85	0	0	0
2 Man City	38	23	9	6	77	35	78	0	0	0
3 Man Utd	38	20	11	7	69	50	71	0	0	0
4 Aston Villa	38	19	8	11	56	49	65	0	0	0
5 Liverpool	38	17	9	12	63	53	60	0	0	0
6 Bournemouth	38	13	18	7	58	54	57	0	0	0
7 Sunderland	38	14	12	12	42	48	54	0	0	0
8 Brighton	38	14	11	13	52	46	53	0	0	0
9 Brentford	38	14	11	13	55	52	53	0	0	0
10 Chelsea	38	14	10	14	58	52	52	0	0	0
11 Fulham	38	15	7	16	47	51	52	0	0	0
12 Newcastle	38	14	7	17	53	55	49	0	0	0
13 Everton	38	13	10	15	47	50	49	0	0	0
14 Leeds	38	11	14	13	49	56	47	0	0	0
15 Crystal Palace	38	11	12	15	41	51	45	0	0	0
16 Nottm Forest	38	11	11	16	48	51	44	0	0	0
17 Spurs	38	10	11	17	48	57	41	0	0	0
18 West Ham	38	10	9	19	46	65	39	0	0	0
19 Burnley	38	4	10	24	38	75	22	0	0	0
20 Wolves	38	3	11	24	27	68	20	0	0	0

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At the start of the season, few punters would have had Brentford being level with champions Liverpool after 25 matches. But Keith Andrews' men have quietly made big strides this season, seeing off fears that they would struggle after the departure of Thomas Frank to Tottenham, and climbing to seventh. They are 11/43.75 to finish in the top six and have European football in their sights. This could turn out to be their best even season.

That said, here's one stat that may concern the hosts. Brentford lost 2-0 against Nottingham Forest in their last home league game, ending a seven game unbeaten run at the Gtech Stadium. Since the start of last season, they've only lost consecutive home league games twice, the first time of which was a 2-0 defeat to Nottingham Forest followed by a loss to Arsenal.

Bet #1 - Back Gunners to cover one goal handicap

The Stat

Arsenal lost their first Premier League away game 2-0 against Brentford but have since won their last three by an aggregate score of 7-1. 

The Bet

Bet #2 - Back Thiago to strike again for Bees

The Stat

Brentford's Igor Thiago has scored nine goals in his last 10 Premier League home games, netting four braces in that run. Only Erling Haaland (5) has scored multiple goals in more different home matches this term.

The Bet

Bet #3 - Backing 0-0 could be route to a big win

The Stat

Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 12 midweek (Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday) Premier League games (W9 D3). However, they're without a win or a goal (D1 L2) in any of their last three specifically on Thursdays.

This is just Brentford's fourth Premier League game played on a Thursday - they lost 2-0 at Spurs in December 2021, beat Nottingham Forest 2-0 in May 2025 and drew 0-0 with Spurs last month.

The Bet

Now read about how Match Odds 90 saved one lucky punter's £1 bet to land £2k