We're reaching crunch time in the Bundesliga season, and Kevin Hatchard has three more selections.
"Wolfsburg have recently lost 4-3 to Eintracht Frankfurt and 3-2 to Bayern Munich, and this could be another titanic tussle against a top side."
UCL battle to strike a few sparks
Wolfsburg v Borussia Dortmund
Saturday 24 April, 14:30
Live on Betfair Live Video
Now that we know there's still a Champions League to aim for, races for qualification like the one currently being run in Germany are ever more fascinating. Perennial qualifiers Borussia Dortmund are on the charge, having won their last three matches, and they have cut the gap between them and third-placed Wolfsburg to five points. A defeat in this game would be a disaster for Dortmund (there are only three matchdays left after this one) but a win would give them a huge boost.
Wolfsburg secured a vital 3-1 win at Stuttgart in midweek, a result that saw them bounce back after back-to-back defeats against fellow top-four teams Bayern Munich and Eintracht Frankfurt. The Wolves have only lost one home game all season (the most recent one against Bayern) and they have one of the best defensive records in the league.
However, despite Wolfsburg's usual solidity, I'm going to go for goals. Wolfsburg have seen four of their last six games feature four goals or more, and those defeats against Frankfurt (4-3) and Bayern (3-2) were chaotic affairs. Dortmund have to play on the front foot, and their attack is boosted by the return of Jadon Sancho, who played the last few minutes of the midweek win over Union Berlin. The game also features two of the league's best centre-forwards. Wout Weghorst has banged in 20 league goals for Wolfsburg, while Erling Haaland has racked up 23 Bundesliga goals this term.
Dortmund's defence is weakened by a suspension for centre-back Mats Hummels, and eight of their last 13 league games have seen an Over 3.5 Goals bet land. At 2.3411/8, that's the route we'll take.
Eagles can avoid defeat
Bayer Leverkusen v Eintracht Frankfurt
Saturday 24 April, 17:30
Live on BT Sport and Betfair Live Video
Having been humiliated by Borussia Mönchengladbach in a 4-0 defeat, Eintracht Frankfurt desperately needed to bounce back in midweek, and that's exactly what they did. The Eagles produced a solid if unspectacular 2-0 win over Augsburg, and they still have a four-point lead over Borussia Dortmund in the race for fourth.
Frankfurt have beaten Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund and Wolfsburg in 2021, and they are capable of getting a result here at Bayer Leverkusen.
Bayer suffered a rather tame 2-0 defeat at Bayern in midweek, and the arrival of new coach Hannes Wolf hasn't really seen them pull up any trees. In his four games, B04 have scraped past an awful Schalke, drawn 0-0 at Hoffenheim, beaten Köln and lost to Bayern. Disturbingly for Bayer fans, in those four games, Infogol tell us that Leverkusen have only posted an Expected Goals For figure of above 1.0 in one of them.
Frankfurt have one of the league's best strikers in Andre Silva, and he'll get support from strike partner Luka Jovic. If Japanese forward Daichi Kamada succumbs to injury, German international Amin Younes is on standby. The Eagles have lost just four matches in the league, and they can pick up at least a draw here against a Bayer side that has won just four of the last ten league games at the BayArena. I'll back Eintracht +0 & +0.5 on the Asian Handicap at 1.8810/11, so a draw gives us a half-win, and a Frankfurt victory gives us the full win.
Arminia can push the Foals hard
Borussia Mönchengladbach v Arminia Bielefeld
Sunday 25 April, 17:00
Live on BT Sport and Betfair Live Video
I must admit I was sceptical about the appointment of Arminia coach Frank Kramer, but since he replaced the popular Uwe Neuhaus (popular with fans, but not his bosses), he has lost just two of his eight matches. Arminia's 1-0 win over Schalke in midweek sent the Royal Blues tumbling out of the division, and they go into this weekend four points clear of the bottom three. They are intense without the ball, and even though he has only scored four goals in the league this term, captain Fabian Klos is an old-school battering ram in attack.
Gladbach led 2-0 at Hoffenheim in midweek, and collapsed to a 3-2 defeat. Coach Marco Rose admits his team is struggling physically, and that's a big concern against an Arminia side that works so hard. The Foals have only won two of their last five home matches, and I'll give the visitors a one-goal start here on the Asian Handicap.
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