Football Bet of the Day: Don't overestimate Getafe's rebirth

Visitors to grind out another result

Getafe v Granada
Thursday 20 January, 18:00
Live on La Liga TV

Our French fancy came through for us last night, as Strasbourg's 2-0 win at struggling Clermont Foot ticked all of the boxes, including the right number of goals and corners. We'll grab a lovely box of macarons to celebrate.

We'll stay in that western European area, and zip to Madrid, because Getafe are continuing their survival push at home to Granada.

Getafe looked doomed to relegation before former Watford and Atletico Madrid boss Quique Sanchez Flores took charge, but the impossibly stylish tactician has found a way to get these players performing. Getafe have lost just two of their last ten La Liga matches, and in their last home match they toppled mighty Real Madrid 1-0.

However, I do feel as if Getafe's price of 2.111/10 in the Match Odds market here is a bit of an overreaction to that sequence of results. Getafe have only won four of those ten matches, and although they have won four of the last five at the Coliseum, I'm not totally convinced they should be hovering just above evens.

Granada fought back from a goal down to draw with Barcelona last time out, and they have put together a seven-match unbeaten sequence in the top flight. In that run they have beaten Atletico Madrid, drawn with Barca and battled to a 2-2 draw at Athletic Club.

Granada have only lost one of their last six on the road, so I'll keep this simple. Let's back Granada +0.5 on the Asian Handicap at 1.8910/11. If the game is drawn or Granada win, we win.