Premier League Tips

Over 2.5 goals is his bet at Vicarage Road, and this is why: "The Hornets' matches are usually full of them anyway, with their games averaging 3.16 per 90 minutes. A total of 10 of their 19 have seen this selection land, and eight of those came under Claudio Ranieri.

"The Canaries managed to beat Everton 2-1 on Saturday, and quite incredibly, they would move two points clear of the relegation zone with a victory tonight.

"I wouldn't rule out that possibility either with the way Watford defend, but one thing I am quite confident of is at least three goals."

Back Verona to Win, Over 2.5 Goals in Watford v Norwich, and BTTS in Espanyol v Betis @ an Odds Boost of 6.511/2

Eintracht Frankfurt v Arminia Bielefeld: Hosts to keep top-four hopes alive

Eintracht Frankfurt 1.84/5 v Arminia Bielefeld 5.24/1, the Draw 3.8514/5
19:30
Live on Betfair Live Video

The opening match of the Bundesliga's gameweek 20 sees Frankfurt bid to keep their hopes of European qualification alive.

Tom Victor says: "Dropped points in recent weeks have dented Eintracht Frankfurt's hopes of Champions League qualification, but the season is long and a win on Friday can put the pressure on their rivals.

"Visitors Arminia have ridden their luck a little to earn eight points from their last four games, and Infogol's model expects the home side to claim the points and leave their opponents in trouble."

BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over

Tom's bet: Eintracht Frankfurt v Arminia Bielefeld: Back the 2-1 @ 9.008/1

Hellas Verona v Bologna: Hellas hot at home

Hellas Verona 2.0811/10 v Bologna 3.953/1, the Draw 3.711/4
19:45
Live on BT Sport 1

Tenth hosts 13th to get gameweek 23 underway in the Serie A on Friday night at Marcantonio Bentegodi Stadium where there have been plenty of goals of late.

Chloe Beresford says: "Arriving at this match having lost five of their last six matches, this will be a tough game for a Bologna side who have just a 28% chance of victory according to the Infogol model.

"The visitors have seen over 2.5 goals in five of their last six away games too, while there have been over 2.5 goals scored in 10 of Verona's last 12 home games in Serie A."

BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over

Chloe's bet: Back 2-1 @ 8.07/1

Hellas Verona v Bologna: Fair chance of goals

Kevin Hatchard also thinks there will be goals in Verona and finds an alternative betting angle.

Kevin says: "In the top 10, only Lazio have a worse defensive record than Verona and they have smashed in 41 goals in 22 games. Forwards Ginaluca Caprari and Giovanni Simeone have smashed in 19 league goals between them, while Czech midfielder Antonin Barak has chipped in with eight goals, and is consistently impressive.

"Bologna have conceded at least two goals in five of their last six games in Serie A, and seven of their ten road matches in the top flight have seen an Over 2.5 Goals bet land. They have leaked 19 goals across those ten away matches.

"Over 2.5 Goals is priced at 1.84/5, and given the chaotic nature of the hosts, I think that's a fair quote."

Kevin's bet: Back Over 2.5 Goals at 1.84/5

Watford v Norwich: Hornets to secure crucial win in fight against drop

Watford 2.166/5 v Norwich 3.711/4, the Draw 3.613/5
20:00
Live on Sky Sports Premier League

Both of these Premier League strugglers clinched good results last time out, so who will emerge the happier from this relegation six-pointer?

Simon Mail says: "Watford merit support for this match and there could be a route to more profit by siding with them to concede in victory. All four of their league wins this season have been with their opponents getting on the scoresheet.

Ranieri's side have failed to keep a clean sheet in the competition all season and Norwich will fancy their chances of breaching their weak defence.

A home win with both teams scoring is very generously priced at 3/1.

"If Watford are to avoid relegation, much will rest on Emmanuel Dennis continuing his exceptional first season in English football. The Nigerian forward is the joint fourth highest scorer in the league with eight goals. Dennis opened the scoring during Watford's win at Carrow Road in September and can punish Norwich again. A bet on Dennis scoring during the match stands out at 21/10 against a team with the worst defensive record in the division.

"Norwich have won just one of their last eight away league games against Watford (D2 L5), winning 3-0 in the Championship in February 2015."

Simon's bet: Back Watford @ 2.1411/10

Espanyol v Real Betis: Betis to go three unbeaten

Espanyol 3.39/4 v Real Betis 2.47/5, the Draw 3.45
20:00
Live on Betfair Live Video.

Espanyol and third-placed Real Betis get La Liga's gameweek 22 underway in Catalonia on Friday night.

Tom Victor says: "Real Betis' 4-0 victory over Alavés was extremely welcome in their pursuit of a top-four finish, though Friday's game in Catalunya will be trickier. Espanyol are flattered by their home record, having conceded barely half what their expected numbers suggest they should have done, and Manuel Pellegrini's visitors may have too much quality for them.

BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under

Tom's bet: Espanyol v Real Betis: Back 0-2 @ 14.0013/1

Espanyol v Real Betis: All quiet on the cards front

Andy Schooler also goes with Friday night in La Liga for his bet of the day.

Andy says: "Javier Alberola Rojas has shown just 3.18 yellows per game so far this season which is more than half a card less than any of the 19 other officials. The league average is 4.82.

"And anyone concerned about a small data sample shouldn't be - Alberola Rojas averaged 3.15 yellows per game across the whole of last season.

"Six of his 11 league games in the current campaign have produced under 40 booking points, something which can be backed at 5/4 here.

That's worth considering but there another's angle I like which produces a much bigger price and that's to back under 10 booking points (basically no cards) in the first half at 11/4."

Andy's bet: Back under 10 booking points in the first half @ 3.7511/4

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