Euro 2024

Euro 2024 Last 16 Stat Pack: Combine Pedri and Georgia goals for a value-soaked 4/1 play

Euro 2024 stat pack
Lewis brings us his stats and best bets for Day 17 of Euro 2024

Sky Sports' Lewis Jones - aka Jones Knows - digs through the data and stats to tip up an Ezri Konsa fouls angle at 17/102.70 and a 4/15.00 cracker in the Spain v Georgia last 16 encounter...


England v Slovakia Superboost

Betfair customers have voted for Sunday's Superboost to be 'England NOT to have a shot in the first 10 minutes (v Slovakia)'. They clearly know their stuff, as the Three Lions have failed to have a single attempt in the opening 10 minutes of any of their three Euro 2024 games so far.

The selection has had a (super) boost up to 3/14.00!


England v Slovakia (17:00) - Konsa can lure Schranz in for 17/10 foul play

The news that Ezri Konsa will start for England, replacing the injured Kieran Trippier, has offered up an interesting betting angle in what looks a wretched game to analyse due to England clearly playing within themselves at this tournament. A low scoring, tedious performance could be on show again but this is a squad packed with so much talent that they could turn the taps on at any point.

Therefore, Konsa's foul drawing ability down the England left looks a more secure way of grabbing some profit. No defender drew more fouls in the Premier League last season than the Aston Villa man (64) at a rate of 1.83 per 90. He's a very slick and intelligent player that manages to lure referees into thinking he's been fouled when the contact is minimal. Slovakia right-winger Ivan Schranz is going to find that out on Sunday where he is value to make two or more fouls at 17/102.70 with the Sportsbook.

He's made two fouls in the tournament already but it's his data domestically playing for Slavia Prague that really stands out. In over 2000 minutes of action in the last two years he's working to a fouls committed average of 1.83 per 90 and has been carded 12 times to a per game average of 0.42 - that's almost one every two games.


Spain v Georgia (20:00) - Pedri shots line still offers great value

I'm excited for this game. Spain's midfield and attack has shaped up so far as the best at the tournament. The variation from Rodri and Fabian Ruiz's expert passing to the dynamism out wide from Lamine Yamal and Nico Williams is such a devastating blend. It could take them all the way.

However, it's another part of that attack I'm looking to back again - Pedri.

He delivered on his shots promise in the win over Italy, firing three shots in total. The markets haven't really adjusted their prices still to his threat so the 11/102.11 for two or more shots is something I want on my side, especially against a team that shipped 53 shots across two meetings with Spain in qualifying and 71 in three games at this tournament so far.

I simply have to include both teams to score to the Pedri price, too. It's a whopper at 6/42.50.

You get the sense even scoring a goal will feel like winning the tournament for Georgia, who will be treating this as a free swing. It should play to their strengths too which certainly come in forward areas with the high-class duo of Khvicha Kvaratskhelia and Georges Mikautadze.

Georgia have found the net in 13 of their last 15 games, including in both of those meetings with Spain and in every group match so far. They can get in the act here to land us a 4/15.00 play.


Now head to our Euro 2024 HUB for more content!


Follow Lewis' Premier League tips and predictions across Sky Sports


Recommended bets

New Customers can get £50 in free bets!

Available to new customers only. Place a £10 bet on the Betfair Sportsbook and you will receive £50 in free bets to use on Bet Builders and Accas! Opt-in here and T&cs apply.

Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.

Upcoming Fixtures Across All Leagues

South Africa vs Canada
View predictions

Brazil vs Japan
View predictions

Germany vs Paraguay
View predictions

Netherlands vs Morocco
View predictions

Côte d'Ivoire vs Norway
View predictions

France vs Sweden
View predictions

Mexico vs Ecuador
View predictions

England vs Congo DR
View predictions

Belgium vs Senegal
View predictions

United States vs Bosnia
View predictions