Euro 2012 Opta Stats: Czech Republic to struggle again

The Greeks have scored exactly once in each of their last six matches
Our first Opta-influenced pick - Czech Republic to fail to keep a clean sheet - might not sound that juicily priced at 1.538/15. However, given that the team in question leaked four against Russia (a figure that would have been larger were it not for Aleksandr Kerzhakov's wastefulness) and Greece defied their stereotyping as negative and the presence of the goal-repellent Georgios Samaras in their front three to impress against Poland, those are reasonable odds on the 2004 champions extending their scoring streak to 14 games.

Three of Greece's last four matches have finished 1-1, the other was 1-0
A meatier option to accompany the odds-on shot above is to bet on Greece replicating the scoreline achieved in both their opening Euro 2012 encounter and two of the three qualifiers that they drew. The three meetings between the nations this century all finished level after 90 minutes, making 3.39/4 on this being a draw appeal, while the Greek 1-1/1-0 sequence reference above points to under 2.5 goals at a slightly restrictive 1.618/13.

Giorgios Karagounis has picked up seven yellow cards in just eight games at European Championship finals; no other player has seen more than five (Pavel Nedved)
The Greek captain extended his margin of indisciplinary dominance in the competition by receiving a reference in strict Spaniard Carlos Velasco Carballo's notebook in Friday's 1-1 draw with Poland. With his side averaging three booking a game at the Euros, he would appear to be in danger of being booked again, yet is surprisingly not among the immediate favourites to add to his lofty tally.

Recommended Bets:
Back Czech Republic to fail to keep a clean sheet @ 1.538/15
Back Greece and Czech Republic to draw 1-1 @ 7.26/1
Back Giorgios Karagounis to be shown a card @ 3.613/5

Click here to read more Opta stats on this encounter