Saturday League One Betting Tips: Pompey fans should be worried for this weekend

Danny Cowley
Danny Cowley's Portsmouth have slipped to 17th in League One

Alan picked out another three winners on Tuesday including a Betbuilder 9.28 success. He has another round of tips for this Saturday and is opposing Portsmouth...

"Portsmouth have won just one of their seven away league games against Accrington Stanley (D4 L2), winning 3-1 in March 2016"

Back Accrington to beat Portsmouth @ 2.9215/8

The art of killing games proving a roaring success for Wycombe

Wycombe Wanderers v Crewe
Saturday 23rd October, kick-off 15:00

Firstly, the scouting and reconnaissance mission in south London was very successful. Charlton aren't very good, in fact they were awful and Nigel Adkins was promptly sacked this week. Paulo Fonseca has not been linked to the job. Accrington's long-range shooting was spectacular, and it made for a profitable night as we head to Buckinghamshire for Saturday.

Wycombe are turning into a very reliable betting proposition at the moment, and while it can take time for League One layers to tread carefully when teams are outperforming their xP (expected points), those that are opposing Gareth Ainsworth's side are risking zero this weekend at 1.564/7.

The Chairboys are masters at killing games; stopping the opposition and carrying out their gameplans. This was evident in the inquest following Tuesday's dour 0-0 at Rotherham - a result that netted us a healthy profit with a Sportsbook Betbuilder 8/1 winner and a 3.02/1 Double Chance success with backing Wycombe.

Ainsworth's opposite number Paul Warne grudgingly admitted the game was full of stoppages with the ball hardly in play, that suited Wycombe, who play with a real togetherness and excellent team spirit.

I wouldn't put anyone off backing the hosts at long odds-on, as they have a put together a record of winning all five matches at home this season and seven at Adams Park stretching back to last season - their best ever run in the Football League.

Crewe are one of three in the third tier without an away league win this season (P7 W0 D3 L4), with this their longest winless start to a league season on the road since 2008-09 (11 matches), when they would be relegated from League One. On those stats alone they should be around 8.07/1.

The Correct Score 1-0, 2-0 and 3-0 wins should be looked at for a batch of trades but the Betbuilder on the Sportsbook offers us another chance to chisel out some profit. Backing the hosts to win and 'No' in the Both Teams To Score market gives us a 2.1511/10 double.

The Alex have won just one of their eight away league games against Wycombe (D2 L5), losing each of the last three in a row since a 2-1 win in September 2002.

KEY OPTA STATS: Wycombe have won four of their last five league games against Crewe (L1), doing the double over them the last time the sides met in the 2017-18 League Two campaign.

Owls still not totally convincing in promotion quest

Sheffield Wednesday v Lincoln City
Saturday 23rd October, kick-off 15:00

Sheffield Wednesday have never lost a home league game against Lincoln (W4 D3), though this is the first such meeting between the sides since a goalless draw in November 1978, but I am not so sure about backing the Owls at 2.01/1 this weekend.

Darren Moore's men are only ninth in the table and cannot afford to lose too much ground on the leaders - where they are currently nine points off. Their home form is solid rather than spectacular with three wins, a draw and a loss, but goals have been in short supply at Hillsborough.

In fact, four of the five fixtures have been Under 2.5 Goals, but the price hasn't been missed at 1.728/11. That's a possibility, but Lincoln are the only one of the 72 EFL clubs without a league clean sheet this season, conceding at least once in all 13 of their matches.That slightly tempers the enthusiasm for that bet.

Darren moore 3 1280 .jpg

They haven't found their play-off form from last season, where they were the best counter-attacking team in the division. This time round they have been too inconsistent. Losses have been interspersed with a couple of big wins at Cambridge (1-5) and Burton (1-2).

Appleton's team played like a bunch of strangers according to the local press in Tuesday's 0-1 home loss to Wimbledon, but their problem all season has been the inability to back-up a good performance with another - a typical League One team.

Sheffield Wednesday have lost just one of their last eight home league games (W4 D3), going down 1-2 to Oxford earlier this month, but Lincoln are overpriced here at 4.03/1, so I am happy to take the Double Chance bet at 2.26/5.

KEY OPTA STAT: Sheffield Wednesday have never lost a home league game against Lincoln (W4 D3), though this is the first such meeting between the sides since a goalless draw in November 1978.

Stanley look too good to turn down with Pompey on a losing streak

Accrington Stanley v Portsmouth
Saturday 23rd October, kick-off 15:00

Albert Camus said there was only one philosophical question, but it should have been two as Portsmouth just cannot seem to get it right in this league.

I tipped them ante-post for a good season as Danny Cowley seemed to be the right fit; a good coach with a proven track record in the division. However, results have taken an alarming downturn recently, conceding four in games against Rotherham and Ipswich.

They seem to wilt as soon as they concede, and Cowley also has a problem with on-loan keeper Gavin Bazunu who seems to have had a confidence crisis in his last two games with a series of howlers. It's slightly worrying that Cowley said he has one of the strongest mentalities in the squad. If a 19-year-old has that ability, it doesn't say much for the senior players.

Portsmouth have won just one of their seven away league games against Accrington Stanley (D4 L2), winning 3-1 in March 2016, while John Coleman's side have won four of their first five home league matches this season (L1), their best home start to a season in the Football League.

It's a surprise that Stanley are the largest of the two at 2.9215/8 and they look the bet.

KEY OPTA STAT: Since winning each of their opening three league games this season, Portsmouth have only won one of their last 10 league fixtures (D3 L6), including none of their last six away from home (D2 L4).


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Alan Dudman's League One P and L

2021/22: +4.22
2017/18 to 2020/21: +34.17pts

*League One bets to a 0.5pt stake

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