League One and League Two Tips: Trebles to back at 10/1 and 8/1

• Cardiff look unstoppable ahead of Home Park trip

• Big test for MK Dons on Sky this Monday at Walsall

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Listen to Football...Only Bettor Saturday preview

League One

Plymouth v Cardiff, Saturday 15:00: Back Cardiff Match Odds 90 mins @ 6/52.20

Cardiff are unbeaten across their last five away league games (W2 D3), last enjoying a longer run on the road between April and September 2021 (six games). Brian Barry-Murphy's side tore apart AFC Wimbledon on Tuesday. The Dons didn't play that badly by all accounts but the Bluebirds have too much class for this division.

The scintillating form of Ollie Tanner since returning from injury has been a catalyst, registering a healthy eight assists and a goal in his last seven appearances for Cardiff.

Now unbeaten in 12, the swagger can hopefully continue at Plymouth, who recently shipped four at home to Lincoln.

Bolton v Blackpool, Saturday 15:00: Back Bolton/Bolton HT/FT @ 5/42.25

Bolton's home form of just one defeat all season, with 11 conceded, is right up there with Cardiff and Lincoln, and had it not been for eight draws away, they'd be going for the title too. How Blackpool score here is the problem.

Bolton have conceded just 11 at home thus far, with impressive xG and xA metrics of 1.99 and 0.96. A pair of recent 1-1 results for the Trotters (both away at Lincoln and Reading) sees them in good shape compared to Blackpool, who have lost seven of their last nine away league games against sides from Greater Manchester (W1 D1), although they did win their most recent 2-0 against Wigan in December.

Backing the hosts in the HT/FT market gives us odds-against, a good price considering the Tangerines have lost 10 away.

Huddersfield v Barnsley, Saturday 15:00: Back Huddersfield @ 4/51.80

Two successive 1-0 losses for Huddersfield have undone all the good work of Liam Manning since taking over from Lee Grant. They produced very little output against Doncaster in midweek - losing 1-0 with zero shots on target and an xG of just 0.38.

In January, they ground out 1-0 victories against Luton and Bradford, and the common theme from the defeats and those victories is that Manning is playing a style not dissimilar from that of Grant. Manning needs to get rid of five at the back and two defensive midfielders and play more front-foot football.

Barnsley as the opponents might help, as they concede many a goal on the road and haven't kept a clean sheet away since early December.

Town have won five of their last six home league games against Barnsley (L1), scoring 2+ goals in each victory during that time, and I expect a bit more of a performance this weekend.

Get Premier League Opta stats and tips for every game this weekend

League Two

Gillingham v Oldham, Saturday 15:00: Back the draw Match Odds 90 mins @ 15/82.88

Gillingham's loss at Chesterfield on Tuesday effectively ended any hopes of a play-off spot, and with four defeats in five, there is a bit of pressure on Gareth Ainsworth.

His style of football at the Gills was described as "horrific" by one critic a few days ago and, for all of his attempts with a couple of new things, he hasn't got the players.

Ainsworth will want to address the poor run, and with 11 draws in total all season, I expect a turgid game as Oldham have scored just 13 and conceded 15 on the road - also with 12 draws home and away too.

Backing the 15/82.88 in the match odds 90 minutes market also gives us a little insurance against a late goal.

Notts County v Tranmere, Saturday 15:00: Back Notts County to win @ 8/111.73

Notts County's loss on Tuesday at Shrewsbury was a costly one for the column, as my two other League Two picks won, and thus County let me down for the winning multiple.

They were undone by some poor decisions from the referee in that game, but they played in to the hands of the Shrews (who do like a set-piece), and thus gifted a set-piece that led to a goal.

The Magpies are much better at home, on a four-game winning streak at Meadow Lane in League Two, and could win five in a row in the same campaign for the first time since their opening five in 2023-24. I have learned my lesson to avoid them away.

Tranmere have lost four their last five away league games (W1), including each of the last three in a row. This is as many defeats as they suffered in their previous 17 away league matches (4).

Walsall v MK Dons, Monday 20:00: Back MK Dons to win @ 13/102.30

Monday night football is here again - this time a top-of-the-table clash of sorts with the MK Dons now the more likely contender and Walsall reprising last year's antics, as they've dropped down like a stone.

With just one League Two win since Boxing Day, the Saddlers are impossible to fancy. A 2-2 draw against Grimsby on Tuesday saw them play the second-half with 10-men. They tried to create but their final ball was poor.

MK Dons have only lost three of their last 17 away games in League Two (W8 D6), with all three defeats coming by just a one-goal margin, and if they truly are contenders to go up, this is a good time to play Walsall.

MK have scored 30 away goals this season, the most in League Two, and their best xG figure is away at 1.41 compared to 1.36 at home.

Now read Jack Critchley's guide to betting on the Championship this weekend