Premier League Opta Stats: Best bets for every Matchday 27 game

• Tips for every Premier League Matchday 27 fixture

• Best bets for Spurs v Arsenal, Everton v Man Utd and more

• For the latest Betfair football odds click here

• Click here for more football betting tips

• Safe Sub is here for the 2025-26 season - read all about it!

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Aston Villa v Leeds: Back another low-scoring Villans game

Saturday 21 February, 15:00

The Opta Stat:

There has been just seven goals scored in Aston Villa's last six Premier League games (4 for, 3 against), an average of just 1.2 per game. In their previous six games, more than treble the number of goals were scored in Villa's games (23 - 3.8 per game).

Betfair Bet: Back Under 1.5 goals @ 27/103.70

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Brentford v Brighton: Back the Bees

Saturday 21 February, 15:00

The Opta Stat:

Brentford have picked up 20 points in their last 10 Premier League matches (W6 D2 L2), as many as they won in their first 16 games this season (W6 D2 L8). No side has won fewer Premier League matches since December than Brighton and Hove Albion (W1 D6 L6), with their only win in this time coming against Burnley. The Seagulls could go seven without a win for the first time since a run of eight between November and January last season. 

Betfair Bet: Back Brentford @ 21/202.05

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Chelsea v Burnley: Back Palmer to strike again

Saturday 21 February, 15:00

The Opta Stat:

Cole Palmer has been involved in 14 goals in his 12 Premier League starts for Chelsea against promoted sides (8 goals, 6 assists), the first game of which included a goal and assist against Burnley in October 2023. 

Betfair Bet: Back Cole Palmer to score or assist @ 1/21.50

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West Ham v Bournemouth: Back Wilson to score against his old club

Saturday 21 February, 17:30
Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat:

Just under 10% of Callum Wilson's Premier League goals have come in matches between Bournemouth and West Ham United (9/93), with the striker netting a brace for the Hammers in this season's reverse fixture.

Betfair Bet: Back Wilson to score @ 17/102.70

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Man City v Newcastle: Back hosts to win to nil

Saturday 21 February, 20:00
Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat:

Manchester City have won their last six Premier League home games against Newcastle without conceding. In their top-flight history, only against Stoke have they had a longer run of consecutive wins to nil (7 between 1982 and 2014).

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Crystal Palace v Wolves: Back striker to score against old club

Sunday 22 February, 14:00
Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat:

Jørgen Strand Larsen has scored more goals in 180 minutes of Premier League football for Crystal Palace this season (2) than he did in 1,405 minutes for Wolves this term (1). 

Betfair Bet: Back Strand Larsen to score @ 6/52.20

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Nottm Forest v Liverpool: Back unders as Pereira era starts

Sunday 22 February, 14:00
Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat:

Nottingham Forest have failed to score in 12 Premier League games this season, with only bottom side Wolves failing to in more (14 before their meeting with Arsenal). Two of Forest's last five Premier League games have finished 0-0, as many goalless draws as in their previous 124 games in the competition. 

Betfair Bet: Back under 2.5 goals @ 6/52.20

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Sunderland v Fulham: Back Black Cats to shutout Cottagers

Sunday 22 February, 14:00
Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat:

Though they're facing nearly 15 shots per game on average, Sunderland have conceded the joint-4th fewest goals in the Premier League this term (30). Indeed, the Black Cats have the lowest shot conversion rate against them in the competition in 2025-26 (8%). 

Betfair Bet: Back Sunderland to win to nil @ 7/24.50

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Tottenham v Arsenal: Back Eze to strike in away win

Sunday 22 February, 16:30
Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat:

Arsenal have won six of their last seven Premier League games against Spurs (D1), including each of the last four. They last won five league games in a row against them between January 1987 and January 1989. Tottenham, meanwhile, are winless in their last eight Premier League games (D4 L4). They last had a longer run within the same campaign between August and November 2007 (9). Little wonder that Arsenal, despite slipping up in midweek, are just 1/21.50 to win in Betfair's Match Odds 90 market.

Eberechi Eze has scored six goals in his last four Premier League appearances against Spurs (including three in two at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium), netting a hat-trick in his first appearance against them for Arsenal in November's reverse fixture. Don't forget that Safe Sub applies to goalscorer bets so if Eze comes off your bet is still on with your money riding on his replacement.

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Everton v Man Utd: Back Red Devils to march on 

Monday 23 February, 20:00
Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat:

Manchester United are unbeaten in their last nine Premier League games (W5 D4), their longest run without defeat since a 14-game streak between January and May 2021. Meanwhile, the Red Devils are the only side still unbeaten in 2026, with no side earning more Premier League points (15). 

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Now read about the latest title race prices and why it pays to use Match Odds 90

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