EFL League One & League Two

League 1 and 2 Final Day: How it stands, permutations and odds

Richie Wellens, Leyton Orient boss
Richie Wellens has turned the O's fortunes around

Ste Tudor goes through the final-day permutations in League One and League Two including automatic promotion and the battle to reach the play-offs...


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League One

All eyes on Reading and Orient this Saturday

The past fortnight has determined almost all of the League One standings with a late charge by Burton hauling them out of the bottom four and beyond the reach of Crawley and Bristol Rovers. These two clubs join Cambridge and Shrewsbury in preparing for life in the fourth tier next term.

At the top, to the surprise of no-one, Birmingham confirmed their champions status earlier this month, going on to set a new EFL points tally record into the bargain.

They will be joined by Wrexham in the Championship next season, continuing their remarkable - if celebrity finance boosted - rise.

That leaves just the play-offs spots of which three have already been snagged, with Stockport, Wycombe and Charlton all bracing themselves for the lottery to come.

The last place, however, is well and truly up for grabs and all eyes will be on Leyton Orient's visit to Huddersfield at the weekend along with Reading hosting Barnsley.


Goal difference makes the O's favourites

After overcoming a difficult first third to their campaign, Leyton Orient go into the final day on 75 points, having picked up 2.4 points per game since mid-March. On the back of five consecutive wins they are the in-form side of the two contenders to claim the final play-off place.

Reading are also on 75 points but crucially have an inferior goal difference - 21 to 13. It is chiefly for this reason that the Royals are priced at 5/42.25 compared to 8/131.61 for Orient.

Certainly their respective opponents this Saturday are barely a consideration. Huddersfield have lost five on the bounce. Barnsley have failed to win in their last five away trips.

League One Top Six Odds: Orient 8/131.61 Reading 5/42.25

Key fixtures: Huddersfield v Orient Reading v Barnsley


League Two

Vale value in title bout

A 2-1 win over Bradford last weekend guaranteed promotion for Doncaster Rovers, ending a three-season stint in the bottom tier. Now they have the title in their sights, looking to fend off Port Vale who are just a point behind.

It could be argued, however, that Doncaster's point advantage is doing a lot of heavy lifting when it comes to Rovers' 8/131.61 odds to be crowned champions on Saturday.

The Yorkshire side head to Notts County who are competing for a play-off place. Their corresponding meeting earlier this season ended 1-1.

darren moore.jpg

Darren Moore's men, meanwhile, host Gillingham who are simply playing out their campaign, one that has seem them win only three times on their travels.

League One Title Odds: Doncaster 8/131.61 Port Vale 5/42.25

Key fixtures: Notts County v Doncaster Port Vale v Gillingham


Three-way scrap for last automatic promotion spot

Bradford, Walsall and Notts County are all in contention to secure the last remaining automatic promotion spot and the fascinating thing about this final-day fight is that all three are out-of-sorts.

The Bantams have won only two of their last 10, shipping in 11 goals in their last four outings. Having resided top from early December to the start of April, Walsall have unraveled and are winless in 13.

Notts County, meanwhile, have won only one of their last five, slipping out of the top six as a consequence.

It is Bradford who are slender 1/41.25 favourites to go up this weekend, being a point ahead of Walsall and three ahead of the Magpies. It could be reasoned too that Bradford have the easiest test ahead, at home to mid-table Fleetwood.

Walsall are 3/14.00 and head to Crewe. Boasting a superior goal difference to Bradford, County will be hoping both rivals slip up but they must entertain champions Doncaster.

League Two Top 3 Odds: Bradford 1/41.25 Walsall 3/14.00 Notts County 25/126.00

Key fixtures: Bradford v Fleetwood Crewe v Walsall Notts County v Doncaster


Five teams chasing play-off spot

Two play-off places are still to be competed for and AFC Wimbledon at 4/111.36 look nailed on to secure one of them. With a points advantage over the chasing pack, the Dons could conceivably lose at Grimsby on Saturday and still be okay if results elsewhere go their way.

Speaking of Grimsby, they are just two points adrift of the Dons and are level with Salford who currently inhabit the last play-off spot. A minus goal difference might prove costly for the Mariners and subsequently their odds are 5/42.25 to Salford's 1/21.50.

Salford is the only club that can be caught by Chesterfield and Colchester. Each face lower half of the table opposition and are expected to do their part, most probably to no avail.

Key fixtures:


League Two Top 7 odds:

League Two table as it stands

# Teams P W D L GF GA PTS xGF xGA xGD EXP FCST
1 Doncaster 46 24 12 10 73 50 84 0 0 0
2 Port Vale 46 22 14 10 65 46 80 0 0 0
3 Bradford 46 22 12 12 64 45 78 0 0 0
4 Walsall 48 21 14 11 75 54 77 0 0 0
5 Wimbledon 48 20 13 13 56 35 73 0 0 0
6 Notts 48 20 12 14 68 49 72 0 0 0
7 Chesterfield 48 19 13 14 73 54 70 0 0 0
8 Salford 46 18 15 13 64 54 69 0 0 0
9 Grimsby 46 20 8 18 61 67 68 0 0 0
10 Colchester 46 16 19 11 52 47 67 0 0 0
11 Bromley 46 17 15 14 64 59 66 0 0 0
12 Swindon 46 15 17 14 71 63 62 0 0 0
13 Crewe 46 15 17 14 49 48 62 0 0 0
14 Fleetwood 46 15 15 16 60 60 60 0 0 0
15 Cheltenham 46 16 12 18 60 70 60 0 0 0
16 Barrow 46 15 14 17 52 50 59 0 0 0
17 Gillingham 46 14 16 16 41 46 58 0 0 0
18 Harrogate 46 14 11 21 43 61 53 0 0 0
19 MK Dons 46 14 10 22 52 66 52 0 0 0
20 Tranmere 46 12 15 19 45 65 51 0 0 0
21 Accrington 46 12 14 20 53 69 50 0 0 0
22 Newport 46 13 10 23 52 76 49 0 0 0
23 Carlisle 46 10 12 24 44 71 42 0 0 0
24 Morecambe 46 10 6 30 40 72 36 0 0 0
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Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.