Daily Acca

The Daily Acca: From the Champions League to Brazil

  • Paul Robinson
  • Published on
  • Updated on
  • 2:00 min read
AC Milan striker - Olivier Giroud
Olivier Giroud has already tasted Champions League success with Chelsea

It's the second semi-final of the Champions League tonight, and Paul Robinson has combined the Milan derby with two Brazilain top flight fixtures for his Daily Acca.


Bet 1: Back Under 2.5 Goals in AC Milan v Inter @ 8/15 - KO 20:00 BST

There hasn't been a Milan Derby this big for quite some time, and I am expecting this first leg to be a low-scoring affair.

Both of these teams are in good form, although Inter definitely hold the edge in that department having won five on the bounce in all competitions.

AC Milan hold a longer unbeaten run though - nine matches since their last loss - and they conceded just four goals during that period.

When these two teams last met in February it finished with just a single goal, and while that ended a three game streak of Over 2.5 goals in Milan derbies, given the enormity of this tie, we should be in for another tight match.

Bet 2: Back Internacional @ 17/20 - KO 23:00 BST

Internacional finished as runners-up in the Brazilian top flight last season, and they have made a solid enough start to this campaign with seven points from their opening four fixtures.

It is their home record that interests me the most though, and while they face a tricky opponent, the 17/20 for them to win really is too big.

Last year they won 13 of their 19 on this ground - losing just once - and they have won both of their home matches in the league already this term.

Athletico Paranaense had a good season to finish sixth in 2022, and they have won two and lost two so far in this campaign. Their away form continues to be poor though - both of their defeats came on their travels - and last year they lost 10 of their 19 away from home.

Bet 3: Back Over 2.5 Goals in RB Bragantino v America MG @ 20/23 - KO 23:00 BST

America MG have been beaten in all four of their Brazilian Serie A matches this season, and they conceded three goals in three of them - the other also went Over 2.5 Goals.

RB Bragantino have taken five points from their opening four league outings, and they were involved in a six goal thriller last time. Three of their four have seen this selection land, and the one that missed out did by just a single goal.

Given the visitors' leaky defence and the high-scoring nature of the hosts' matches this season, Over 2.5 looks like a pretty safe bet at 20/23.

Recommended bets

Daily Acca 2022/23 P/L

Wagered: 238pts

Returned: 219.12pts

P/L: -18.88pts

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