Club World Cup Day Five Tipsheet: Back 100/30 Julian Alvarez to fire first

Palmeiras v AL Ahly

17:00 Thursday

I'm on the Brazilians to finish top of Group A so this is a key fixture. My confidence behind that bet was only enhanced by their performance in their opening game with Porto - a game which the dominated but just couldn't find the final touch in front of goal. The expected goals data of 2.1 to 0.6 backed that theory up.

They are an ultra-consistent side that have finished in the top two of their domestic league for the past two seasons. You know exactly what you're going to get from them under this manager Albert Fererira. In 20 games since April, they've conceded just 12 goals, backed up by an expected goals against process 0.8 per 90. That's a sign of excellent structure and organisation out of possession.

The both teams to score 'no' looks the way to play at 4/51.80 on the Sportsbook with the win to nil price covered along with the 0-0 draw which has been a factor at this tournament.

Inter Miami vs FC Porto

20:00 Thursday

There have been a couple of signs that the lesser European teams aren't as far clear of the rest of the world as the markets suggests. Porto really struggled to create anything of note in their opener Palmeiras and Borussia Dortmund were very team in their draw with Fluminese. Porto slumped this season in the Portugues league, finishing third in the league while also experiencing a terrible Europa League campaign. They are not a team to trust at 1.674/6 on the Betfair Exchange. Hitting the lay button could prove a profitable play.

Seattle Sounders v Atletico Madrid

23:00 kick-off

The 4-0 scoreline didn't look good for Atletico Madrid against PSG but it was a flattering one.

The Spanish side were very much in the game when they had a goal chalked off to make it 2-1 by VAR and still created a big moment when going down to 10-men with Alexander Sorloth missing from three yards out. Diego Simeone's men looked committed and up for the challenge of this tournament so Seattle could be at the wrong place at the wrong time for a bit of a reaction. I'm anticipating a very dominant and convincing showing from the La Liga side with Julian Alvarez to the fore.

Eyebrows were raised when Atletico splashed a hefty €75m on Man City's striker but he's come in as their main man and delivered across all competitions last season, scoring 29 goals. The 100/304.30 for him to score first on the Sportsbook will be getting some of my cash.

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