EFL Championship

Saturday Championship Opta Stats: Nine bets including a 31/20 pick at Deepdale

Bristol City boss Nigel Pearson
Nigel Pearson will be hoping that his side can pick up consecutive home victories

With the help of the Opta Stats, Jack Critchley has picked out a best bet in each of the nine Championship games taking place on Saturday afternoon...

  • Potters to fall short once again

  • Haul of Hulls goals in Humberside

  • BTTS in West London

  • Read about Betfair's new 90 Minute Payout offer here


    Bristol City vs Stoke

    Robins to continue their excellent form at Ashton Gate

    The Opta Stat:

    "Bristol City have only lost two of their last 14 league games at Ashton Gate (W6 D6), winning their last such game against Plymouth 4-1"

    Stoke's poor form continued on Sunday as they suffered a 3-1 home reverse to Hull. Bristol City are a strong home outfit and difficult to score against at Ashton Gate. They should have too much for the out-of-form visitors.

    The Betfair Bet:


    Cardiff vs Rotherham

    Attack-minded Bluebirds to punish Millers

    The Opta Stat:

    "Mark McGuinness' winner against Sunderland last time out was Cardiff's 10th different goalscorer in the league this season (ex. own goals) - across the Football League no other has had more different scorers (level with Newcastle and Wrexham)"

    Cardiff have been free-scoring this season and although they played in midweek, they should be able to find the back of the net here. Rotherham's away form has been incredibly poor and they've conceded 11 times in their first four matches on the road.

    The Betfair Bet:


    Hull vs Plymouth

    Another entertaining contest at the MKM

    The Opta Stat:

    "Hull have only lost two of their 17 home league games under Liam Rosenior (W6 D9), including none of their last eight (W3 D5)"

    There have been 11 goals across Plymouth's last three away game with the Pilgrims responsible for just three of them. Hull are yet to lose at home this season and although they failed to score last time out, they should be able to score at least a couple on Saturday.

    The Betfair Bet:


    Huddersfield vs Ipswich

    Tractor Boys to sneak another three points

    Mckenna Ipswich.jpg

    The Opta Stat:

    "Ipswich have won seven of their eight league games so far in 2023-24 (L1), including all four on the road; they've never won their opening five such games to begin a league campaign before"

    The Betfair Bet:


    Millwall vs Swansea

    Predictably tight encounter at the Den

    The Opta Stat:

    "Swansea are without a win in their previous five away league games (D2 L3); they last went longer without a league victory on the road between October/December 2022 (7 games)"

    Michael Duff got the result he needed against Sheffield Wednesday last weekend, however, this is likely to be much tougher. The hosts have scored four and conceded four at home and this could be another game that is decided by fine margins.

    The Betfair Bet:


    QPR vs Coventry

    Sky Blues defence to struggle once again

    The Opta Stat:

    "Coventry, who have drawn five of their last six league games (L1), have dropped more points from winning positions than any other Championship side in 2023-24 (9), two of which came last time out against Huddersfield"

    Coventry are yet to keep a clean sheet on the road this season and they were unable to prevent Huddersfield from netting a late equaliser at the CBS on Monday night.

    QPR are struggling for points at home, yet they've managed to find the net in the last two.

    The Betfair Bet:


    Preston vs West Brom

    PNE to shine at Deepdale

    The Opta Stats:

    "Preston have won all four of their Championship games at Deepdale this season - all 2-1 victories - the Lilywhites haven't won five successive Championship games on home soil since January 2009 (run of six)"

    "West Brom have won just two of their last 14 away league games (D4 L8) and none of their last six (D3 L3) - among sides currently in the Championship, only Watford (1) and Rotherham (0) have won fewer away league games in 2023 than the Baggies (3)"

    The Betfair Bet:


    Norwich vs Birmingham

    Blues to keep things tight

    David Wagner hands together.jpg

    The Opta Stat:

    "Norwich have lost their last two league games after only losing one of their opening six matches (W4 D1) - at Carrow Road, the Canaries have lost five of their last nine such games (W3 D1), failing to score on every occasion they didn't win"

    The Betfair Bet:


    Watford vs Middlesbrough

    Entertaining game at Vicarage Road

    The Opta Stat:

    "Middlesbrough, who recorded their first league win of the season last time out against Southampton, are without a clean sheet in their previous 17 away league matches (32 goals conceded) - not since October 1966 have they endured a longer such run (29 games)"

    Michael Carrick went back to basics against Southampton and it paid off. This is a tough trip to Hertfordshire, however, Boro have netted in each of their last three on the road. Watford create plenty of chances at home and this should be a decent 90 minutes.

    The Betfair Bet:


Recommended bets

Jack Critchley's 2023-24 P/L

Staked: 75.00

Returned: 79.25

P/L: +4.25

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Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.