UEFA Champions League

Bad Man Betting's European Acca: Back 6/1 four-fold across Wednesday and Thursday

  • Bad Man Betting
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Man City boss Pep Guardiola
Champions League winner Man City are looking for three points in Leipzig

@BadManBetting have put together a 6/1 Acca across four games in the Champions League and Europa League from Wednesday onwards, with Man City kick-starting the four-fold...


Leg 1: Leipzig vs Man City - Man City to win

I know what some of you may be thinking. Yes, Man City lost away at Wolves over the weekend, but it doesn't take an expert to see that it was a bit of a freak result.

Whilst their xG wasn't quite as astronomically large as it usually is, City still registered 23 shots and eight on target.

The one key issue is how easy they were to cut through, an issue that should absolutely be resolved by the return of Rodri in the midfield on Wednesday night.

Without him, they're a far less threatening proposition, but with his suspension being a domestic one, he should help City light up the Champions League.

Make no mistake, Leipzig away won't be a walk in the park, but a more in depth look at their numbers highlight that they've been lucky with a couple of results.

Bayern dominated their game at the weekend, with 65% and an xG of 2.36. If you afford a full-strength City side with those kinds of chances, then you'll be put to the sword.

Leipzig's chances at the other end will also be at a premium against City, and the fact that they're average xG is only 1.39 (the seventh lowest in the Bundesliga) suggests that their chance creation is sub-par.

City beat Leipzig 7-0 when they last met back in March, and while I don't expect that kind of scoreline, I do expect them to win.

Leg 2: Porto vs Barcelona - Barcelona to win

I'd hesitate to say that Barcelona have been back to their brilliant best this season, but there are certainly encouraging signs coming from Xavi's men.

Unbeaten in the league, 19 goals scored, and they've unearthed yet another future superstar in Lamine Yamal.

It's all positives at the Nou Camp at this very moment, and I can't see Barca's momentum being cut short by Porto on Wednesday night.

First and foremost, Barcelona look comfortable right now. Their xGA of 1.20 is the best in La Liga, and their xG per 90 of 1.99 is mightily impressive.

That should serve them well against a wounded Porto side.

The Portuguese giants are struggling. They come into this one off the back of a 1-0 loss to their fiercest rivals Benfica, and they're yet to win a league game by more than one goal this season.

They've found it incredibly difficult to hit the back of the net compared to the other top teams in the division, and their extensive injuries will only make matters worse.

Captain and former Real Madrid man Pepe is likely sidelined, and defensive partner Ivan Marcano is unlikely to return until next year. Fabio Cardoso should deputise as a result, a worrying sign for Porto fans given his red card after just 17 minutes against Benfica.

With injuries at the back, and struggles up top, I don't see how Porto trouble Barcelona here. The Spanish outfit should win.

Leg 3: Villarreal vs Rennes - Rennes to win or draw

Villarreal have been a thorn in the side of many a European giant over recent seasons, and despite the tightest of budgets, the Spanish outfit continue to be a force in Europe.

However, their start to the season has been less than impressive to say the least.

The 'Yellow-Submarine' have won just twice in all competitions this season, with just one win in their last six, and even that came against bottom of the table Almeria in a narrow 2-1 victory.

Queue Rennes, who despite a rather tame start to the campaign, are still unbeaten.

Yes, they've drawn five of their seven league outings, but a 3-0 win over Maccabi Haifa on matchday one of the Europa League is evidence enough to suggest that they're up to the task of tackling Europe.

They've notched 16 goals in their eight games in all competitions, hardly surprising given the riches they have in forward areas.

Amine Gouiri, Ludovic Blas, Arnaud Kalimuendo, Desire Doue, Ibrahim Salah, these are all forwards that have contributed to the goals this season.

The difficulty for Villarreal here is that Rennes are more than capable at the other end as well. They have the fourth best defensive record in Ligue 1, something that will be difficult for this Villarreal side to penetrate.

The hosts have scored more than once on just two occasions this season, and I don't see that changing against France's draw specialists, who should maintain their unbeaten record here.

Leg 4: Molde vs Leverkusen - Leverkusen to win

Xabi Alonso's Leverkusen side are fast becoming one of my favourite teams to watch in Europe. They're exciting, they're free-flowing, and they possess a number of quality options that would trouble most teams in Europe.

They've already demonstrated that they can hang with the best, having held Bayern to a 2-2 draw in their own backyard, and as a result they sit top of the Bundesliga table.

That draw against Bayern is the only game in which they've dropped points this season. They've netted 20 times in six league games, with summer signing Viktor Boniface leading the charge with six goals.

They've carried that form into Europe as well, humbling Hacken in a 4-0 victory. I expect them to carry on their charge against Molde.

The Norwegian side have had a bit of an up and down season. They're perhaps the best known side in Norway, but as it stands, they're some way off being the best team in the nation.

Yes, they won 4-0 against league leaders Viking at the weekend, but for those who watch European football that comes as no surprise. Everyone scores and leaks goals for fun.

Their last Europa League outing saw them lose 1-0 to Qarabag, a side that can't really hold a candle to Leverkusen.

If the German outfit get going early here, then they should win this comfortably; they certainly have the quality to do so.

Back Bad Man Betting's Acca at just over 6/17.00

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