UEFA Champions League

Aston Villa v PSG: Another high-scoring encounter on the cards

PSG's Vitinha and Aston Villa's Marco Asensio
Vitinha and Marco Asensio vying for possession in last week's first leg

James Eastham expects the goals to flow when the two sides meet at Villa Park in their quarter-final second leg on Tuesday night...


Tuesday Betfair Football Superboost

Tuesday's Betfair Superboost is all about attacking brilliance in the Champions League as Barcelona's Robert Lewandowski takes on old club Dortmund in Germany and Ousmane Dembele tries to help Paris Saint-Germain finish the job at Aston Villa.

The pair have had 18 shots on target apiece in their last 10 games and you can back them to each have one or more on Tuesday night at 1/1 boosted from 1/2.


Watch Football...Only Bettor Champions League special


Aston Villa vs Paris-SG
Tuesday, 20:00 GMT
Live on Amazon Prime Video

PSG short odds to qualify

Aston Villa will have to produce one of the most remarkable comebacks in recent Champions League history if they are to overcome Paris-SG to take their place in the tournament's semi-finals when the sides meet at Villa Park on Tuesday night.

Unai Emery's players trail 3-1 from the first leg at Parc des Princes last week, when the Ligue 1 outfit played some tremendous attacking football and scored some memorable goals to secure the advantage in the tie.

It no surprise to see that PSG are short-priced favourites to reach the last four. On our Exchange, Luis Enrique's side are 1.071/14 to make it through, while Aston Villa are 13.525/2 to progress.

On the Match Odds market - referring to the result in normal time on Tuesday - Aston Villa are 3.3512/5, while PSG are 2.226/5, and The Draw is 3.929/10.

The watching millions that were impressed by the teamwork and quality PSG displayed in that first leg may be tempted to support the club from the French capital given the odds-against price that is available. But PSG do not need to win, and that should be taken into account.

It rarely makes sense to back a team to win in a game where they do not actually need to win. PSG will qualify for the semi-finals if they draw, and even if they lose by one goal. Given this reality, there is no reason to believe PSG will go all-out to win on the night if the game were, for example, level with 10 minutes left to play.

Goals markets offer best opportunities

Over 2.5 Goals looks a better selection. The first leg was open and entertaining, with both teams playing some terrific football when they moved the ball forward. Four beautifully crafted goals were scored, and the game's xG was 2.68.

We believe the second leg is likely to be played in a similar fashion. Trailing by two goals in the tie, Aston Villa have to be positive and, at some points, may have to take risks. They will be quietly confident that they have the attacking prowess to cause the PSG defence problems, but equally aware that they may have to leave their own back line exposed at times as they look to claw their way back into the tie.

PSG can be devastatingly quick and effective in attack. With their goals and several other dangerous moments last weekend, Desire Doue and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia underlined what a threat they can be in wide areas. If neither of them get you, PSG have Bradley Barcola waiting to come off the bench, while Ousmane Dembele - playing as the nominal centre-forward in PSG's fluid formation - continues to average more than a goal a game in 2025.

Over 2.5 Goals is currently available at 1.75/7 on the Exchange. While some people may not like backing Overs at odds-on, we think this is a great opportunity on a game where we are confident of seeing good scoring chances at both ends.

If you are looking for bigger odds, you may like to consider Over 3.0 on the Goal Lines market at 2.111/10. With this selection, your stakes would be returned if the game has exactly three goals in normal time, and you will make a profit if the game has four or more goals in normal time. This selection would lose only if the game has no goals, one goal, or two goals in normal time.


Now read more of our Champions League tips here!


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Ste Tudor's Build Up tips:


Back Doue to have more shots on target than Rogers

PSG's teenage sensation Desire Doue has made a habit of putting English sides to the sword this season in the Champions League.
He was sensational against Manchester City back in January, his perfectly ordinary stats on the night not doing justice to the number of times he had the Blues' back-line running scared.

At Anfield in the last 16, he punished tired Liverpool legs, coming on with 23 minutes on the clock - plus extra-time - and tormented Van Dijk and company. Two key passes, two shots, and converting the decisive pen amounted to an eye-catching cameo.

Then it was Aston Villa's turn to be twisted inside out. Doue's goal in the first-leg is worth lingering on, receiving the ball out wide with several team-mates in the box. A cross was the sensible choice.

Yet the French international backed himself to cut inside and curl home a lavish shot from 20 yards right into the top corner. It was some goal from some player.

Morgan Rogers also scored in Paris, extending on an impressive Champions League yield this term that has seen him bag four, create two assists, and take on a shot every 38.9 minutes. All told he has reached double figures for shots on target in Europe's premier competition, keeping Marco Asensio and others out of the side while doing so.

Still, it is the PSG man who is backed here, a player who took on six attempts v Villa last week, finding the target from half of them.

With Unai Emery's side seeking to overturn a two goal deficit, there will be plenty of scope for PSG's scintillating front three to break at pace, with Doue set to trouble Emi Martinez several times over once again.



James 2024-25 Champions League P/L

Staked: 19pts
Returned: +11.86pts
P/L: -7.14pts

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