Betfair | Derby v Reading. 11/05/08, Kick-off 15:00

Derby v Reading. 11/05/08, Kick-off 15:00

PREMIER LEAGUE: DERBY v READING

REASONS TO BACK: Derby +1.5 on Asian handicap

Derby have lost only one of their home games (0-3 against Spurs) to the sides currently in the bottom half (W1-D3-L4) by more than a goal, drawing three of four at home to the current bottom six.

REASONS TO LAY: Reading win

Of 18 Premiership sides that have played their last game of the season in danger of relegation on the road at a team with nothing to play for, only two have come away with a victory (W2-D8-L8).

IN-PLAY: Reading win

The Royals have never won a Premiership game on the road (W0-D4-L20) in which they have conceded a first half goal, with all their away wins coming after a first-half clean sheet (W6-D5-L2).

MATCH MAP

	Championship Play-off Winner				Head to Head		Reading
	Last 5 home	Last 19 home	Last 38 all	Last 5 v opp A form	Prom. home	Prom. all	Last 5 away	Last 19 away	Last 38 all	Last 5 v opp H form
Played	5	19	38	5	4	9	5	19	38	1
Won	0	1	1	0	1	2	1	1	9	0
Drawn	2	6	9	1	2	2	1	5	7	0
Lost	3	12	28	4	1	5	3	13	22	1
PPG	0.4	0.5	0.3	0.2	1.3	0.9	0.8	0.4	0.9	0.0
Matches +1.5	3	14	26	5	3	7	3	14	29	1
Matches +2.5	3	9	18	4	2	5	2	11	20	1
Matches +3.5	3	5	13	2	0	1	0	6	8	1
Scored First	1	6	9	2	2	3	2	2	12	0
Clean Sheets	1	2	3	0	1	2	2	3	7	0