Wimbledon

Wimbledon Women's Singles Day 3 Tips: Both Maria and Wickmayer are value in round one

  • Dan Weston
  • Published on
  • 2:00 min read
Yanina Wickmayer
Wickmayer faces Anna Blinkova in R2

With rain causing major issues on day two, just three women's singles matches were completed at Wimbledon on Tuesday. All three featured players towards the top of the outright market, and all three progressed to round two.

  • Sabalenka and Rybakina pushing for second favourite

  • Yanina Wickmayer looks value against Blinkova

  • Get on Maria in the early match on Wednesday


Firstly, Elena Rybakina was in trouble a set down against Shelby Rogers, but put doubts over her fitness to one side to storm back to win easily in three sets eventually, while both Ons Jabeur and Aryna Sabalenka were able to get their wins in straight sets with minimal fuss.

Following Iga Swiatek's comfortable win on Monday, a look at the updated outright market looks worthwhile. Swiatek is now into 3.7511/4 as the market favourite, with Sabalenka and Rybakina both around the 6.6011/2 mark, continually vying for second favourite status.

Jabeur is now into 14.013/1 and is the third favourite for the title, narrowly ahead of Petra Kvitova 18.017/1.

In-form Wickmayer a decent price against Blinkova

Yanina Wickmayer is having a renaissance of late, winning 10 of 11 on grass so far this season, winning a decent ITF title in Surbiton, and qualifying to be here. Her only loss was against the grass-court specialist Tatjana Maria, so Wickmayer clearly is enjoying her return to grass courts.

Opponent Anna Blinkova has had a mixed grass season so far, with a decent win over Leylah Fernandez in Bad Homburg but a loss against lucky loser Elina Avanesyan in Berlin, and to be honest, hasn't been able to pick up many wins on grass over recent years.

Blinkova's grass numbers in the last couple of seasons have been nothing special at all, with mediocre data particularly on serve, and I think that Wickmayer's serve will be too strong for her. Wickmayer looks a decent price at 1.855/6.

Back Back Yanina Wickmayer to beat Anna Blinkova @ 1.855/6

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Grass specialist Maria a surprising underdogz

Moving on, at first glance I thought Madison Brengle at 1.804/5 would be a spot against the veteran clay-courter Sara Errani, but then I took a look at the American's grass court data.

Brengle is 2-9 in main tour matches on grass in the last three years, achieving worse serve stats than the notoriously poor serving Errani. It's tough to advocate a position on Brengle with that in mind.

The other interesting match is the aforementioned grass specialist Tatjana Maria, who reached the final in the Gaiba Challenger on the surface several weeks ago, and took a set from world number one Iga Swiatek in Bad Homburg a week ago.

Maria faces Sorana Cîrstea, who is now 1-5 in her last six matches, with four of the five losses coming as a pre-match favourite. Cirstea hasn't picked up many wins on grass in the last few years, and Maria has a data edge when looking at short-term, medium-term and long-term numbers on the surface.

Given this, Maria's price as an underdog is a little strange, and the 2.0811/10 about the German veteran looks some value.

Back Tatjana Maria to beat Sorana Cristea @ 2.0811/10

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