Wimbledon Quarter-Final Men's Tips: Accumulated fatigue a potential issue for several players

Serbian Tennis Player Novak Djokovic
Novak Djokovic is heavy favourite yet again today...

The men's singles continues at Wimbledon today with all four quarter-finals taking place this afternoon. Returning to preview the day ahead is our tennis columnist, Dan Weston...

"This looks a little bit of a step too far for Fucsovics, but it wouldn't surprise me if he gave a decent account of himself."

Djokovic shortens in the outright market following Manic Monday

Manic Monday's fourth round matches produced some superb encounters with Karen Khachanov, Marton Fucsovics and Felix Auger-Aliassime all recording five-set triumphs, and several big name favourites exited the tournament. These included Alexander Zverev and in the delayed match which ran into Tuesday's schedule, Daniil Medvedev, who was defeated by Hubert Hurkacz.

The losses of Zverev and in particular, second-favourite Medvedev, have seen Novak Djokovic shorten even further in the outright market with the world number one now into 1.422/5 to lift the trophy on Sunday afternoon. No other player is in single digit pricing, which illustrates the dominance that the Serb has over the field currently.

Fucsovics could give a decent account of himself against Djokovic

Djokovic faces one of the fifth-set winners from Monday, Marton Fucsovics, and as he has been throughout this event so far, is again very short-priced to continue progressing in the tournament. He's just 1.041/25 to defeat the Hungarian, and this does look a little on the short side even considering Fucsovics' epic win over Andrey Rublev on Monday.

Despite going five sets, Fucsovics' win lasted less than three hours, and his fourth-set bagel of the Russian clearly helped in that regard as well. He may not be quite as fatigued as the average five-set winner and he's impressed so far in the tournament, beating Jannik Sinner and Diego Schwartzman as underdog in both matches. This looks a little bit of a step too far for Fucsovics, but it wouldn't surprise me if he gave a decent account of himself.

Hurkacz on an upward ability curve ahead of Federer clash

The other three favourites today are priced around the 1.351/3 to 1.501/2 mark, and with the exception of Federer, the other two do look a little short. Federer has hugely benefited from Medvedev's defeat yesterday - he'd likely have been underdog against the Russian - and looks about right at 1.4640/85 against the Pole, Hurkacz.

After a strong hard court spring, culminating in a maiden Masters title in Miami, Hurkacz really struggled on clay making little impression on that surface, but he's done well to get to this stage and it will be fascinating to see how Federer deals with a player on an upward ability curve.

Accumulated fatigue a potential issue for Khachanov and Auger-Aliassime

It's interesting to see that the two other five-set winners on Monday, Auger-Aliassime and Khachanov, are also priced pretty generously by the market - seeming to indicate that there is a strong consideration that those victories will be a big issue for them in terms of accumulated fatigue.

This might be a potential issue for both players. Khachanov needed almost four hours to get the better of Sebastian Korda 10-8 in the final set, and he's not been particularly well supported in the market being 3.7511/4 to beat Denis Shapovalov. Without these circumstances, this price on Khachanov would be pretty generous.

As for Auger-Aliassime, his win over Alexander Zverev took even longer, at a shade over the four-hour mark. Again, in normal circumstances, the 3.90 about the Canadian would look on the generous side against Matteo Berrettini in what should be a fairly serve-orientated encounter. However, given Monday's exertions, it's tough to consider either Khachanov or Auger-Aliassime value today.


Follow Dan on Twitter @TennisRatings

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