Round one action at Wimbledon continues today, with a number of big names starting their tournament. Our tennis columnist, Dan Weston, is back to give his thoughts on day two...
"Diatchenko has barely won a match since 2019 although has picked up some wins on grass in qualifiers for the warm-up events against weak opposition."
Barty and Serena in action on day two
Petra Kvitova's exit to Sloane Stephens was the big shock on day one, with the likes of Aryna Sabalenka, Garbine Muguruza, Madison Keys and Iga Swiatek getting through to round two, which in theory will start tomorrow but if there is more rain today, might struggle to be played on schedule.
Hoping to join these big names in round two today is Ash Barty, who faces Carla Suarez Navarro, and Serena Williams, who looks a little short-priced at 1.081/12 for her meeting with Aliaksandra Sasnovich. Both of the tournament favourites would be expected to get the job done today, and their market prices illustrate this.
The market also expects Cori Gauff to get the job done at 1.061/18 against the Brit, Francesca Jones, but I do think this is pretty short-priced. Gauff obviously has absurdly high future potential but her current numbers stand out as being good, as opposed to great, and being this price in a best of three set match isn't something that I think is particularly good value.
Tsurenko and Giorgi look short-priced
As mentioned yesterday, finding value without much relevant grass data is tricky. There's prices which look out of line but it's very difficult to have much confidence on them given the unique circumstances which mean that this is the first grass season since 2019.
Lesia Tsurenko looks short at around 1.705/7 for her match against Yulia Putintseva, who has really struggled long-term on grass but is generally the better player on other surfaces, while Camila Giorgi is good in quicker conditions but looks very short at 1.3030/100 against Jill Teichmann.
Raducanu capable of underdog win over Diatchenko
For today's recommendation, however, I'm going lower-profile and while it's a cautious one, I like the chances of Emma Raducanu against Vitalia Diatchenko.
British wild-card Raducanu is markedly lower in the rankings but is showing signs of being much better than being outside the top 300 currently.
In the Nottingham ITF warm-up event several weeks ago, Raducanu beat Timea Babos easily and lost a really tight two-setter against Tsvetana Pironkova, who has been excellent in the past on grass. She hasn't played a lot this year but has shown enough in that event for me to have more faith in her longer-term numbers.
Diatchenko has barely won a match since 2019 although has picked up some wins on grass in qualifiers for the warm-up events against weak opposition. I just can't see why she's around the 1.608/13 mark here against Raducanu who is a talented young player with plenty of future potential.
It's Raducanu who is our recommendation today, with the market likely to settle around the 2.608/5 mark on the Brit.
Follow Dan on Twitter @TennisRatings
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