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class="entry_header"> <h1 class="entry_header__title">ATP Tour Tips: Dan Weston sides with Sinner in Barcelona</h1> <ul class="entry_header__meta"> <li><a href="https://betting.betfair.com/authors/dan-weston/">Dan Weston</a></li> <li><time datetime="2023-04-17">17 April 2023</time></li> <li>2:00 min read</li> </ul> <script type="application/ld+json"> { "@context": "http://schema.org", "@type": "NewsArticle", "headline": "ATP Tour Tips: Dan Weston sides with Sinner in Barcelona", "name": "ATP Tour Tips: Dan Weston sides with Sinner in Barcelona", "description": "Following the Monte Carlo Masters, clay court action on the ATP Tour continues with three events taking place in Europe over the coming week. Dan Weston retu...", "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/tennis/events/atp-tour-tips-dan-weston-sides-with-sinner-in-barcelona-170423-778.html", "mainEntityOfPage": "https://betting.betfair.com/tennis/events/atp-tour-tips-dan-weston-sides-with-sinner-in-barcelona-170423-778.html", "datePublished": "2023-04-17T09:30:00+01:00", "dateModified": "2023-04-17T09:39:00+01:00", "articleBody": "Following the Monte Carlo Masters, clay court action on the ATP Tour continues with three events taking place in Europe over the coming week. Dan Weston returns to preview the tournaments... Outright market unworried by Alcaraz fitness Sinner capable of testing the Spaniard Djokovic likely to dominate in Banja Luka Alcaraz odds-on in unbalanced Barcelona market There's a strong-looking field in the premium tournament of the week in Barcelona, which is a 500-level event (the other two are 250s). In his home country, Carlos Alcaraz is top seed although there's an injury doubt over the Spaniard after missing the last few weeks including Monte Carlo. This injury doubt hasn't prevented the outright market from making Alcaraz a strong favourite at [2.0] to lift the trophy in a week's time. With three other players rather nearer the forefront of the outrights than others - Jannik Sinner, Stefanos Tsitsipas and Casper Ruud - there's a rather unbalanced feel to the market, with all other players trading far in excess of this trio as long-shots. Sinner the best option to take on Alcaraz Conveniently for the market, the four market leaders are seeded in different quarters, with no real easy-looking draw compared to the others. Sinner looks well-set to get to the latter stages, given that only Cameron Norrie or Lorenzo Musetti look likely to have much chance of preventing him from reaching the semi-finals. As usual, I'm fine with fading Tstisipas, who is in Sinner's half of the draw, and there's little doubt that despite Sinner's loss to Ruud in Monte Carlo (a loss where he won a greater percentage of points in the match), he's running at almost 110% combined service/return points won across surfaces in 2023 - a level which will certainly test Alcaraz in a potential final, particularly if Alcaraz isn't fully fit. Sinner looks the best option if you are looking to oppose Alcaraz at a short price. Rune top seed in Munich to bounce back Over in Munich, Holger Rune needs to bounce back from his loss to Andrey Rublev in the Monte Carlo final yesterday, being top seed to win the event which looks pretty low in quality (31 ranked Botic van de Zandschulp is the fourth seed and gets a first-round bye). The Dane is defending his title here, beating van de Zandschulp via retirement last year. Rune is vying with favourite status with Alexander Zverev at [4.5], who I'm not totally convinced is anywhere back to his best yet. Taylor Fritz looks the other major contender, but I worry about his serve on clay. Dominic Thiem [10.0] being high-up in the outrights looks pretty absurd based on his results this season so far. If Rune is in decent shape following his exertions in Monte Carlo, he looks the outstanding player in the field. Djokovic expected to ease to Banja Luka title Finally, Banja Luka plays host to a new event on the ATP Tour and in his home country, Novak Djokovic is top seed and odds-on market favourite to win the trophy. Monte Carlo winner Rublev is the obvious rival to the Serb, but after an incredible effort last week, may not be in great shape (and could well withdraw) for this much smaller event. With the remainder of the field looking pretty mediocre, with plenty of Challenger Tour regulars participating, it would be a real shock if Djokovic was beaten by anyone who isn't Rublev. This looks to be a likely procession for Djokovic to pick up yet another career ATP Tour title. Back Jannik Sinner around 6.0 to win ATP Barcelona 6.0", "image":[ "https://betting.cdnppb.net/tennis/Novak Djokovic victory fist 1280.728x410.jpg", "https://betting.cdnppb.net/tennis/Novak Djokovic victory fist 1280.547x410.jpg", "https://betting.cdnppb.net/tennis/Novak Djokovic victory fist 1280.410x410.jpg" ], "publisher": { "@type": "Organization", "name": "Betting.Betfair", "logo": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": "https://betting.cdnppb.net/assets/img/betfairlogoblack.ea48b4e0.png" }, "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/" }, "author": { "@type": "Person", "name": "Dan Weston", "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/authors/dan_weston" } } </script> </header> <div class="two_column_layout"> <main class="entry_main"> <div class="entry_img"> <img src="//betting.cdnppb.net/tennis/Novak Djokovic victory fist 1280.728x410.jpg" srcset="//betting.cdnppb.net/tennis/Novak Djokovic victory fist 1280.450x253.jpg 450w, //betting.cdnppb.net/tennis/Novak Djokovic victory fist 1280.600x338.jpg 600w, //betting.cdnppb.net/tennis/Novak Djokovic victory fist 1280.728x410.jpg 728w" alt="ATP Barcelona"> <figcaption class="entry_img__caption">Dan Weston believes Djokovic will dominate in Banja Luka</figcaption> </div> <div class="entry_actions"> <div> <a class="button button--dark" href="https://promos.betfair.com/promotion?promoCode=ACQZBGC01B10G30A&prod=90&rfr=977218">Join</a> </div> <div> <a class="button btn--market" data-market_full="https://www.betfair.com/sport/tennis/atp-barcelona-2023/12572192" href="https://www.betfair.com/sport/tennis/atp-barcelona-2023/12572192">View market</a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--twitter"> <a href="https://twitter.com/intent/tweet/?text=ATP%20Tour%20Tips%3A%20Dan%20Weston%20sides%20with%20Sinner%20in%20Barcelona&url=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Ftennis%2Fevents%2Fatp-tour-tips-dan-weston-sides-with-sinner-in-barcelona-170423-778.html" target="_blank" title="Twitter"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--twitter">Twitter</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--facebook"> <a href="https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Ftennis%2Fevents%2Fatp-tour-tips-dan-weston-sides-with-sinner-in-barcelona-170423-778.html" target="_blank" title="Facebook"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--facebook">Facebook</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--reddit"> <a href="https://www.reddit.com/submit/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Ftennis%2Fevents%2Fatp-tour-tips-dan-weston-sides-with-sinner-in-barcelona-170423-778.html" target="_blank" title="Reddit"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--reddit">Reddit</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--whatsapp"> <a href="https://api.whatsapp.com/send?text=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Ftennis%2Fevents%2Fatp-tour-tips-dan-weston-sides-with-sinner-in-barcelona-170423-778.html" target="_blank" title="WhatsApp"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--whatsapp">WhatsApp</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--telegram"> <a href="https://t.me/share/url?url=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Ftennis%2Fevents%2Fatp-tour-tips-dan-weston-sides-with-sinner-in-barcelona-170423-778.html&text=ATP%20Tour%20Tips%3A%20Dan%20Weston%20sides%20with%20Sinner%20in%20Barcelona" target="_blank" title="Telegram"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--telegram">Telegram</span></a> </div> </div> <div class="entry_body has-odds"> <div class="entry_body__intro"><p>Following the Monte Carlo Masters, clay court action on the ATP Tour continues with three events taking place in Europe over the coming week. Dan Weston returns to preview the tournaments...</p></div> <div class="entry_body__content"> <div class="editor"> <ul> <li> <h3>Outright market unworried by Alcaraz fitness</h3> </li> <li> <h3>Sinner capable of testing the Spaniard</h3> </li> <li> <h3>Djokovic likely to dominate in Banja Luka</h3> </li> <hr><h2>Alcaraz odds-on in unbalanced Barcelona market</h2><p></p><p>There's a <strong>strong-looking field</strong> in the premium tournament of the week in Barcelona, which is a 500-level event (the other two are 250s). In his home country, <strong>Carlos Alcaraz</strong> is top seed although there's an injury doubt over the Spaniard after missing the last few weeks including Monte Carlo.</p><p>This injury doubt hasn't prevented the outright market from making <strong>Alcaraz a strong favourite</strong> at <b class="inline_odds" title="1/1"><span class="inline_odds__main">2.0</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">1/1</span></b> to lift the trophy in a week's time. With three other players rather nearer the forefront of the outrights than others - Jannik Sinner, Stefanos Tsitsipas and Casper Ruud - there's a rather unbalanced feel to the market, with all other players trading far in excess of this trio as long-shots.</p><h2>Sinner the best option to take on Alcaraz</h2><p></p><p>Conveniently for the market, the four market leaders are seeded in different quarters, with no real easy-looking draw compared to the others. <strong>Sinner</strong> looks well-set to get to the latter stages, given that only Cameron Norrie or Lorenzo Musetti look likely to have much chance of preventing him from reaching the semi-finals.</p><p>As usual, I'm fine with fading Tstisipas, who is in Sinner's half of the draw, and there's little doubt that despite Sinner's loss to Ruud in Monte Carlo (a loss where he won a greater percentage of points in the match), he's running at <strong>almost 110% combined service/return points won across surfaces in 2023</strong> - a level which will certainly test Alcaraz in a potential final, particularly if Alcaraz isn't fully fit.</p><blockquote> <p><strong>Sinner looks the best option</strong> if you are looking to oppose Alcaraz at a short price.</p> </blockquote><h2>Rune top seed in Munich to bounce back</h2><p></p><p>Over in Munich, <strong>Holger Rune</strong> needs to bounce back from his loss to Andrey Rublev in the Monte Carlo final yesterday, being top seed to win the event which looks pretty low in quality (31 ranked Botic van de Zandschulp is the fourth seed and gets a first-round bye). The Dane is defending his title here, beating van de Zandschulp via retirement last year.</p><p>Rune is vying with favourite status with <strong>Alexander Zverev</strong> at <b class="inline_odds" title="7/2"><span class="inline_odds__main">4.5</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">7/2</span></b>, who I'm not totally convinced is anywhere back to his best yet. Taylor Fritz looks the other major contender, but I worry about his serve on clay.</p><p><strong>Dominic Thiem</strong> <b class="inline_odds" title="9/1"><span class="inline_odds__main">10.0</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">9/1</span></b> being high-up in the outrights looks pretty absurd based on his results this season so far. If Rune is in decent shape following his exertions in Monte Carlo, he looks the outstanding player in the field.</p><h2>Djokovic expected to ease to Banja Luka title</h2><p></p><p>Finally, Banja Luka plays host to a new event on the ATP Tour and in his home country, <strong>Novak Djokovic</strong> is top seed and <strong>odds-on market favourite</strong> to win the trophy. Monte Carlo winner Rublev is the obvious rival to the Serb, but after an incredible effort last week, may not be in great shape (and could well withdraw) for this much smaller event.</p><p>With the remainder of the field looking pretty mediocre, with plenty of Challenger Tour regulars participating, it would be a <strong>real shock if Djokovic was beaten</strong> by anyone who isn't Rublev. This looks to be a likely procession for Djokovic to pick up yet another career ATP Tour title.</p><div class="bet_promo_banner"> <p>Back Jannik Sinner around 6.0 to win ATP Barcelona</p> <a target="_blank" href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/tennis/market/1.212968082" class="bet_promo_banner__link" rel="noopener">6.0</a></div></ul> </div> </div> <section class="betting_copy"> <div class="editor"> <h2 class="promo-name bf-sportsbook" data-qa="promo-name">New customers can get £20 in free bets!</h2> <p>New customers can earn £20 in free bets when they place a £5 bet on the Sportsbook after signing up. <a href="https://promos.betfair.com/promotion?promoCode=ACQZBHC01B5G20">T&Cs apply.</a></p> <section class="promo__desc"> <div class="description "> <section class="promo__desc"> <div class="description"></div> </section> </div> </section> </div> </section> <div id="betslip" class="entry_body__extras"> </div> <div class="entry_body__widgets"> </div> <div class="entry_actions"> 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