World Cup Day 28 Tipsheet: Mark Stinchcombe's best bets for France v Morocco including a 3/1 treble

France v Morocco Tip - Back Hakimi to be a fouled man

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France enter the quarter-final stage as solid 15/82.88 World Cup favourites, with Spain second faves at 7/24.50 and Argentina third in the betting at 4/15.00.

As a result, France are 4/71.57 to beat Morocco in 90 minutes. They were 8/151.53 in their opening game against Senegal and given Morocco were 7/52.40 faves against Senegal in the AFCON final this year, it suggests the 4/71.57 on France is a bit short.

Coincidentally this is a repeat of the World Cup semi-final from four years ago in Qatar where France were also 4/71.57 that day. Have Morocco improved since four years ago? It feels like yes to me and they enter this game unbeaten in their last 26 competitive games inside 90 minutes. However, doubts surrounding the availability of star attacker and top scorer Ismael Saibari is what is perhaps keeping the odds lower than expected on France.

Over 2.5 goals is maybe surprisingly the underdog here at 19/201.95 despite the attacking talent on show.

The World Cup so far has averaged 2.92 goals per-game and 13 of the 24 knockout games so far have seen three or more goals. However, Morocco's two toughest tests against the Netherlands and Brazil have both finished 1-1 and the meeting four years ago finished 2-0 to France, so coupled with the fitness issues of their main striker, means there may be clamour for the 3/41.75 on Under 2.5 goals.

One area of the pitch France will need to be aware of is Morocco's attacks down their right-hand side. Versus the centre and the left, 46% of their offensive play comes down here - the second highest in the tournament - with one of their main threats in full-back Achraf Hakimi.

The PSG man has a goal and two assists so far but it might be even more if the opposition didn't keep bringing him down, with Hakimi being fouled 2.8 times per-game - the 10th most in the tournament. He's 8/111.73 to be fouled two or more times and that looks a standout bet. It's won in his last eight matches including all five here at the World Cup.

Stinch's Acca - Back a France v Morocco treble at 3/14.00

With Betfair's Bet £10 Get £10 on ACCAs or bet builders at the World Cup it's worth adding France's left-back to pick up a couple of fouls.

Lucas Digne has committed at least a foul in his last eight competitive starts for France and will also be up against Brahim Diaz who's drawn 1.6 fouls per-game at the World Cup.

Finally we can't leave out one of the main superstars of the tournament in Kylian Mbappe. He's got seven goals and two assists in just five games and has a goal involvement in his last 11 competitive matches for France.

Now read more World Cup tips here!