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Tuesday Football Tips: Top-spot battle can entertain in Spain

Simone Inzaghi
Simone Inzaghi's Inter need a win to top the group

"Real lead La Liga for shots taken but more than half the division has a better record in terms of shots given up."

Fresh from a winner on Monday night, our football props column returns with another shots bet in the Real Madrid v Inter Milan Champions League showdown.

Sadly there are a few dead rubbers on Tuesday's Champions League coupon and while, to some, they will represent betting opportunity, my preference is to focus on games where there's something at stake.

So it's off to the Bernabeu where top spot will be at stake in Group D - Inter need to win, while a draw is good enough for the hosts.

It's a scenario which should produce some shots.

It's hard to imagine Real sitting back and playing for a draw - it's not in their nature - and with some fringe players expected to set into the side, including striker Luka Jovic, there should be enough of them striving to impress.

Clearly Inter need to come forward, at least at some stage, and while there is the Italian stereotype of caginess to consider, it can quickly be dismissed.

Inter are Serie A's highest shot-takers (16.8 per game) - and the likely return of Lautaro Martinez will likely help their tally here - but they are also in mid-table for shots conceded.

It's a similar scenario with Real - they lead La Liga for shots taken but more than half the division has a better record in terms of shots given up.

Looking solely at the Champions League, these two appear in the top three for shots taken and while that's arguably down to the other, weaker teams in the group (Shakhtar and Sheriff), it's notable that the reverse fixture produced 30 shots, even if there was only one goal in the San Siro - a late winner for Real.

I'm going to play 29+ match shots at 15/8.

It's landed in four of Real's five UCL games so far and three of Inter's five.

With one team always needing to attack, whatever the scoreline, that looks worth a play.

Tuesday Cheat Sheet: All the best bets in one place!

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Column 2021/22 P/L

Staked: 110pts
Returned: 141.94pts
P/L: +31.94pts

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