Toulouse v Lyon: Back improving sides to find the net

• Lyon have surged clear of the dropzone

• Toulouse have picked up eye-catching wins

• Both attacks in form, so BTTS makes sense

Toulouse v Lyon
Friday 15 March, 20:00
Live on TNT Sports

We had a nail-biting night in Florence, but a late equaliser from Maccabi Haifa against Fiorentina gave us a 1-1 draw and landed our BTTS bet.

We'll head to Toulouse now, because Les Violets are facing in-form Lyon, who have turned a chaotic and potentially disastrous season around.

Under the unpredictable leadership of owner John Textor, Lyon have floundered for much of the season. Coach Laurent Blanc cut a disinterested and disconnected figure, and his replacement Fabio Grosso was a total disaster.

It's been left to caretaker coach Pierre Sage to sweep up the mess, and the former Lyon academy boss has delivered a run of eight league wins in 11 games. To an extent, this is regression to the mean (think of Bayer Leverkusen rising from relegation danger to sixth last term in Germany), but Sage also deserves plenty of credit. Lyon are still going in the Coupe de France after a nervy penalty shoot-out win over Strasbourg, and they'll face lower-league Valenciennes in a winnable semi-final.

Toulouse have had a European adventure that included a famous win over Liverpool, but they are only four points above the dropzone. That said, they are in strong form at home, having beaten high-flying Lille and Nice recently. They also recorded an impressive 2-1 victory at Monaco, so they are scoring goals against quality sides.

I think backing both teams to score makes sense here at 1.824/5. That has paid out in 15 of Toulouse's 25 league games, while Lyon have scored at least once in 10 of their last 11 league matches. Toulouse have scored in 11 of their last 13 home games in Ligue 1.