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Osasuna have had 16 more cards than Celta this season
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Veiga has 2+ shots on target in three of last four away games
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Back a 17/1 Bet Builder for La Liga game in Pamplona
The bookies can't split these two even though Osasuna are at home and six points above Monday night's visitors Celta Vigo.
Celta come in with better recent form after three wins in five while Osasuna's win in their last league game came after five games without victory.
Osasuna have also lost three of their last four at home, but they're three games you'd expect them to lose, coming against Real and Atletico Madrid and Barcelona.
Celta haven't had much joy in recent visits, losing two, drawing two and scoring just once in their last four trips to Osasuna, but maybe the fact the hosts have now won a home game on a Monday night in La Liga history will work out for the visitors.
Backing plenty of cards
The result is best swerved here and instead we'll make a play on the card count, and back the hosts to have more cards than the visitors - which they've done this season with Osasuna having 16 more than Celta.
Teams have also seen more cards playing against Celta than Osasuna, so the hosts, despite being the outsiders in this market, are worth backing to have a greater card count.
We'll also take over 5.5 cards overall in the match, which has come in for the last two head-to-heads in Pamplona.
For our player props portion, Celta Vigo's talented young Gabri Veiga is in great form with four goals in four games and he's been having plenty of attempts on goal in the process.
He's had a shot on target in nine of his last 11, with 2+ shots on target in five of his last eight - including three out of four away games.
It means he's averaging just under one-and-a-half shots on target per 90 minutes played, and I like this match-up for him as well, so we'll take him for 2+ shots here to maintain his strong form of late.
It also boosts our Bet Builder to a whopping 17/1 to really give us a kick-start to the week.
Recommended bets
Back Osasuna most cards v Celta Vigo, over 5.5 cards & Veiga 2+ shots on target @ 17/1COLUMN P/L 2022/23
Staked: 233ptsReturned: 271.58pts
P/L: +38.58pts
2021/22 season
Staked: 291pts
Returned: 335.14pts
P/L: +44.14pts