Football Bet of the Day: Geese to punish Portimonense

• Casa Pia have won 5/6 hosting bottom-half teams
  

• Portimonense have lost 8/9 on the road
  

• Back Casa Pia to win
  

Casa Pia v Portimonense
Friday 20:15

In Spain yesterday, Sevilla came from behind to beat Espanyol 3-2 and give us a BTTS winner.

We've crossed the border and come to Portugal. Tenth-placed Casa Pia are hosting 13th-running Portimonense in the Primeira Liga. Casa won the reverse fixture 2-1 and we fancy the hosts to keep hold of all three points again this time.

In their first season back in the Portuguese top flight, the Geese are an even W6-D3-L6 at Pina Manique Stadium. Hosting teams currently in the wrong half of the table, that record firms to W5-D0-L1.

Paulo Sergio's Portimonense are six points below their hosts in 13th. They are W4-D0-L11 on the ro this term, losing 11 of the last 13 and 8 of the most recent 9. All four wins came against teams below them in the table. They are W0-D0-L11 against the rest of the league and we're taking the Geese to make it 12 defeats out of 12 tonight.