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Napredak have lost 4/5 to stronger teams
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Backa have won 5/6 at weaker teams
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Back Backa Topola to win
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FK Napredak v FK Backa Topola
Thursday 15:00
In west London last night, QPR drew 2-2 with West Brom to give us a BTTS winner.
We're heading to Serbia now for the second of two top-flight games this afternoon. Eleventh-placed FK Napredak are hosting third-placed Backa Topola and we fancy the visitors to come away with all three points.
Backa Topola are unbeaten on the road this season (W7-D4-L0). Travelling to teams outside the Prva Liga's current top six, they are W5-D1-L0. Defence has been the bedrock of that success, as they've notched clean sheets in 7/11 (4/6 vs non-top six sides).
Napredak are W3-D2-L6 on their own patch, having scored only eight times across those 11 matches. That record weakens to W1-D0-L4 hosting top-six outfits like Backa Topola, and they've netted just twice across those five games. We'll take Backa to beat them today.