-
Hosts chasing top spot
-
Visitors have lost nine of last 15 on the road
-
Back the home win
Elfsborg v AIK
Monday 23 October, 18:10
If there's one thing our chum Tobias knows, it's the ins and outs of Spanish football, and his tip Racing Santander romped to a 3-0 win over Burgos last night to lock in a profit for the week.
We'll leave Tobias to spend his winnings on the local seafood, while we head to Sweden to kick off our week. Title-chasing Elfsborg are in action against AIK, and I fancy backing a lively home win.
Elfsborg are just a point behind leaders Malmö with a game in hand, and they have already won a highly impressive 18 games out of 26 in the top flight this term. They are on a roll, having won three league games in a row, and on home soil they have won seven of their last ten.
Elfsborg have a good recent record against AIK, having beaten them on each of their last two visits to Stockholm, and having suffered just two defeats against them in the last eight league meetings.
AIK have lost their last three on the road, and if you stretch back further, it's nine away defeats from the last 15. They tend to fall short away to the big hitters - they have lost at leaders Malmö, champions Häcken and fourth-placed Djurgarden.
Elfsborg are 1.784/5 in the Match Odds market, and I think that price is more than fair. You could use the Bet Builder to boost it by adding on Over 1.5 Goals and Over 7.5 Corners at 2.3527/20, but this time I'll keep it simple.