Bet of the Day

Monday Football Tips: Expect to see red in relegation battle

  • Andy Schooler
  • Published on
  • Updated on
  • 1:30 min read
Referee Pablo Gonzalez Fuertes
Pablo Gonzalez Fuertes: Loves a red card

There's a big game at the bottom of La Liga on Monday night and the Betfair football props column has a 5/1 Bet Builder for it.

  • 5/1 Bet Builder for key La Liga game
  • Card-happy referee
  • Season goal trends offer value

Let's kick-off a new week by combining what appear to be a couple of value shots in tonight's La Liga contest.

It's a big battle towards the bottom of the table - Getafe are in the relegation zone with Celta Vigo sitting just a point above them.

It therefore promises to be competitive and whenever Getafe are involved, you simply have to look at the card markets.

They've long been one of Spain's dirtiest sides and they've already accumulated four red cards in 10 games this season. Celta have two.

The referee is a notable choice here too.

Pablo Gonzalez Fuertes showed 10 reds in 20 matches last season - a league high - and he's already flying on that front this term with three in five.

He's also averaging a whopping 7.8 yellows per game thus far and those sort of figures suggest the chances of a sending-off here are high, arguably higher than odds of 9/5 suggest.

I also feel 29/20 about over 2.5 goals is generous.

Another Getafe long-term trend has been low goals but both of these sides are well above 50% for over 2.5 goals this season - Celta's figure is at 70% and Getafe's 60%.

Four out of five games at the Balaidos this season have landed this bet, while Getafe's two matches against teams in the bottom half have also delivered for punters.

Put the two together and you get a Bet Builder of just over 5/1 which looks worth a go.

West Ham v Bournemouth: Read props columnist Paul Higham's verdict!

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Column P/L 2022/23

Staked: 120pts
Returned: 142.24pts
P/L: +22.24pts

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Andy Schooler avatar

Andy Schooler

Andy Schooler has been writing about sport for more than 20 years.

Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.

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