Premier League Tips

We got the Latvia win we wanted last night, and we got the right number of corners, but Liechtenstein were a lot more stubborn than expected as they only lost 1-0. We move on.

We're heading to Zenica, because Bosnia-Herzegovina are in Nations League action against Romania, and I don't think there'll be too much in the way of entertainment.

Bosnia started their latest Nations League campaign with a 1-1 draw in Finland, and they needed a last-gasp equaliser from Smail Prevljak to snatch a point. 13 of their last 15 games have now featured fewer than three goals, including the last five. If you look purely at the Nations League, they have only scored four goals across their last eight matches.

Romania kicked off their UNL promotion bid with a 2-0 defeat in Montenegro, and eight of their last ten games have featured fewer than three goals. Seven of their 13 games in the Nations League have seen an Under 2.5 Goals bet land.

It's also worth noting that Bosnia's attacking record at home recently is atrocious. They have failed to score in eight of their last 12 home matches including friendlies, and ten of those games have seen an Under 2.5 Goals bet be successful.

Considering all that, I think an Under 2.5 Goals bet at 1.84/5 is a reasonable proposition.