Granada v Sevilla: Reach for the stars with 21/1 Bet Builder

• Fouls stats point to Boye and Gudelj

• Sergio Ramos has scored in 3 of his last 5 games

• After yesterday's 11/2 winner, back 21/1 Bet Builder

• Read Betfair's new 90 Minute Payout offer here

Granada v Sevilla
Tuesday 19 December, 20:30
Live on Viaplay Sports 2

With a nice 11/26.50 winner banked on Monday, we can afford to take a bit more of a punt on Tuesday and that's what we're going to do.

Moving across the border from Portugal to Spain, we find a big game at the bottom of La Liga.

Hosts Granada sit second bottom with just one win to their name but they will fancy their chances against fallen giants Sevilla, who are only two places higher, just above the relegation zone.

Their poor form cost Diego Alonso his job at the weekend and this match will be the first in charge for new boss Quique Sanchez Flores.

Leg 1: Lucas Boye 2+ fouls

A new manager often sparks some life into a team and I like the chances of fouls in this game.

These two are both in the top six when it comes to being fouled. Throw in Sevilla's players being out to impress and the current predicament of both sides and I'm happy to pick out a player from each side in the 2+ fouls market.

For Granada, Lucas Boye fits the bill.

The forward has committed at least two fouls in 11 of his 16 appearances this season, including eight of his last 10.

Leg 2: Nemanja Gudelj 2+ fouls

As for Sevilla, Nemanja Gudelj looks a good price at 7/52.40.

The Serbian centre-back has landed this in seven of his last 11 starts and could well be troubled by Boye, who has long been one of La Liga's most prolific dribblers.

Admittedly, the referee could be better for fouls - Mateo Busquets Ferrer is just below the average for fouls per game.

However, he is one of the better officials for cards so given the circumstances already explained, there looks every chance his fouls output is raised on the day.

Leg 3: Sergio Ramos to score

To make up a chunky-priced Bet Builder, it's time to move away from the fouls market and head to the anytime goalscorer one where I can't resist a punt on Sergio Ramos.

The former Real Madrid man has scored in three of his last five games.

Two of those have been penalties so it's worth noting Granada have already conceded four of those. In addition, Busquets Ferrer is the sixth-best ref in terms of penalties per game - he's awarded three in his eight matches in La Liga this season.

Ramos' other recent goal came from a set play - his other big threat.

And a look at the stats shows only Real Sociedad have conceded more set-piece goals then Granada so far.

With Ivan Rakitic suspended, Ramos may well get the armband here and the veteran is someone who leads by example.

In Sevilla's hour of need, expect a big performance from the defender and that may well include conjuring up a crucial goal.

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