Everton v Crystal Palace FA Cup Replay: Go low on cards in 29/1 double

Dominic Calvert-Lewin was wrong sent off at Selhurst Park in the initial game

Our football props column is going with the low-cards theory in the FA Cup again on Wednesday, offering up a [29/1] Bet Builder for Everton v Crystal Palace.


Everton v Crystal Palace
Wednesday 17 January, 19:45

Some of you will have read my FA Cup previews earlier this month which espoused the low-cards theory in the competition.

Basically, the cards-per-game average is lower than in the Premier League, to use an example.

Sadly, I didn't pick the right games, although the always tastily priced no-cards bet did land in a few matches, including the Wigan v Liverpool TV clash and Norwich v Bristol Rovers.

The latter pair replay on Wednesday but I like a low-carding referee to be involved so I'm swerving that tie and heading to Goodison Park.

Bet 1: Back both teams under 0.5 cards

Tony Harrington takes charge of the all-Premier League replay and he's shown just four cards across his two top-flight games this season.

As for his FA Cup record, that fits the bill nicely with under 2.5 cards landing in 11 of 19. There have been three games without a card in that series.

Moving on to the teams, who drew 0-0 at Selhurst Park almost two weeks ago, they are both in the top half of the Premier League fair play table.

In the original game was notable largely for Dominic Calvert-Lewin's sending off, although that was later rescinded. The other two cards in the contest were shown for a dive and dissent so it wasn't a dirty game.

The Bet Builder combining both the home and away side to have under 0.5 cards pays around 29/130.00.

Back both teams under 0.5 cards @ around 29/130.00

Bet now

Bet 2: Under 2.5 cards

However, we all know that it doesn't take much to go wrong there, so the safer option is to go under 2.5 cards at 5/23.50.

I'll put half the stake on each bet.

Back under 2.5 cards @ 5/23.50

Bet now

FA Cup: More tips for the midweek third-round replays!


Recommended bets

Back both teams under 0.5 cards at around 29/130.00
Back under 2.5 cards at 5/23.50

Column P/L 2023/24

Staked: 150pts
Returned: 162.73pts
P/L: +12.73pts

2022/23 P/L: +68.69pts

Andy Schooler

Andy Schooler has been writing about sport for more than 20 years.

Discover the latest articles